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Valladolid

€31.70m

13 Apr14:30
0 : 0

Eibar

€15.00m

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Valladolid vs Eibar Prediction Segunda División

Valladolid vs Eibar prediction: pressure, form, and value

The Valladolid vs Eibar prediction for Monday, 2026-04-13 (19:30 GMT) comes with an interesting twist: the table says one thing, the venue says another, and the mood around each camp could decide the fine details. Real Valladolid host SD Eibar at Estadio José Zorrilla in Round 35 of LaLiga Hypermotion, where margins are small and every point feels like a week’s wages.

Match context, form, and the human side of the tactics

This fixture lands in a league sprint where the promotion picture is tight at the top, while Valladolid are looking over their shoulder. Eibar sit 8th on 54 points and arrive with real rhythm: four straight wins and seven unbeaten. Recent results underline their balance—an efficient 1-0 away win at Real Sociedad B, then a more open, confident 3-0 against Ceuta.

Valladolid, by contrast, are 17th on 39 points and still searching for calm. The 1-0 derby loss to Cultural Leonesa on April 4 added tension, and Fran Escribá’s blunt assessment (“very unhappy… very clumsy”) suggests training this week has been more about basics than bravado.

From a tactical view, Valladolid should try to play with the ball and make Zorrilla feel like home again, but they will do it with limitations. Injuries rule out Iván Garriel, Amath Ndiaye, and Guille Bueno, which can reduce rotation options on the flanks and affect late-game energy. Eibar manager Beñat San José, meanwhile, reportedly has a full squad available—useful for keeping their high-intensity phases and making purposeful subs.

  • Standings pressure: Valladolid need points for safety; Eibar want to stay in the promotion race.
  • Form edge: Eibar’s unbeaten run brings confidence in close games.
  • Squad news: Valladolid miss key pieces; Eibar have a cleaner bill of health.

Head to head and market mood

The latest head to head meeting (2024-03.54) finished 3-1 for Valladolid, a reminder that this match-up can open up when Valladolid find their timing between the lines. Still, the current betting odds paint a cautious picture: Home win 2.4, Draw 3.50, Away win 3.5. That pricing leans Valladolid, but not by much—more “slight edge” than “clear favorite.”

NerdyTips angles: predictions, stats, and why they connect

Our model’s match script expects Valladolid to have more of the ball (57% vs 43%), with a modest shot gap (11–8) and shots on target (4–3). That combination usually points to a narrow home advantage rather than a runaway win—especially when total corners are projected at 7 (4–3), suggesting steady pressure rather than constant siege.

Best bet: total goals

The main recommendation is Under 3.5 total goals at 1.18, trust rating 4.4/10. That trust level is not a victory lap, but it is the strongest angle here: Segunda División games often punish overconfidence, and these projected numbers fit a 1-0, 1-1, or 2-1 type of night more than a goal festival.

1X2 lean and expected score

The Valladolid vs Eibar prediction on the 1X2 market is Home (1) at 2.4, but with a low 1.7/10 trust score—basically a lean, not a lock. The expected final score is 2-1, with a 1-0 half-time idea, which matches the possession edge and the slightly higher chance of Valladolid landing the first punch. Discipline projections (1 yellow for Valladolid, 2 for Eibar) also hint at Eibar needing to stop transitions when Valladolid break lines.

  • Best tip: Under 3.5 goals (1.18), trust 4.4/10
  • 1X2: Valladolid to win (2.4), trust 1.7/10
  • Projected score: 2-1 (HT 1-0)

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Valladolid didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Valladolid vs Eibar

U3.5 -556

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -556
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 140

Valladolid is expected to win with odds of 140
1/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -556

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 112

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -208

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.32
xG
0.84
57%
Ball Possession
43%
11
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots Off Goal
2
4
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.37
Expected Goals
1.17
3.4
Total Goals
2
1.4
Goals Scored
1.5
2
Goals Against
0.5
48%
Possession
47%
11.7
Total Shots
9.9
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.4
3.9
Shots off Goal
3.1
14.9
Fouls
14.2
4.3
Corners
4.2
2.2
Offsides
1.5
1.9
Yellow Cards
2.5
384
Total Passes
438

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
7
7
Over 1.5 Goals
5
7
Over 2.5 Goals
4
5
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Valladolid
5 - 3 - 4
Eibar
Valladolid Valladolid 13-Apr-26
0:0
Eibar Eibar
Valladolid Valladolid 24-Mar-24
3:1
Eibar Eibar
Valladolid Valladolid 31-Oct-21
2:0
Eibar Eibar
Valladolid Valladolid 03-Oct-20
1:2
Eibar Eibar
Valladolid Valladolid 26-Oct-19
2:0
Eibar Eibar
Valladolid Valladolid 10-Nov-18
0:0
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 19-Dec-25
3:0
Valladolid Valladolid
Eibar Eibar 27-Oct-23
5:1
Valladolid Valladolid
Eibar Eibar 08-May-22
0:2
Valladolid Valladolid
Eibar Eibar 13-Feb-21
1:1
Valladolid Valladolid

Profile time Recent Matches of Valladolid

09 MayW Valladolid Valladolid 2 Zaragoza Zaragoza 0
03 MayL Las Palmas Las Palmas 2 Valladolid Valladolid 1
25 AprW Valladolid Valladolid 1 Real II Real II 0
19 AprL FC Andorra FC Andorra 1 Valladolid Valladolid 0
13 AprD Valladolid Valladolid 0 Eibar Eibar 0
04 AprL Cultural Cultural 1 Valladolid Valladolid 0
31 MarW Valladolid Valladolid 3 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 0
28 MarL Valladolid Valladolid 0 Burgos CF Burgos CF 1
22 MarL Mirandes Mirandes 2 Valladolid Valladolid 1
14 MarW Valladolid Valladolid 3 Leganes Leganes 2

Profile time Recent Matches Of Eibar

10 MayWMirandes Mirandes 0 Eibar Eibar 1
02 MayLEibar Eibar 2 Malaga Malaga 4
24 AprWAlbacete Albacete 0 Eibar Eibar 3
19 AprWEibar Eibar 2 Huesca Huesca 1
13 AprDValladolid Valladolid 0 Eibar Eibar 0
05 AprWEibar Eibar 3 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC 0
02 AprWReal II Real II 0 Eibar Eibar 1
29 MarWEibar Eibar 3 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1
21 MarWAndorra Andorra 0 Eibar Eibar 1
15 MarDEibar Eibar 0 Burgos CF Burgos CF 0

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team M G P
1 Racing SantanderRacing3981-5875
2 AlmeriaAlmeria3978-5871
3 Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La3960-4171
4 MalagaMalaga3968-5066
5 Las PalmasLas Palmas3952-3766
6 CastellónCastellón3966-4965
7 EibarEibar3948-3664
8 BurgosBurgos3944-3363
9 CordobaCordoba3955-5660
10 FC AndorraFC Andorra3961-4958
11 AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC3947-5955
12 AlbaceteAlbacete3951-5253
13 Sporting GijonSporting Gijon3952-5152
14 Granada CFGranada CF3948-5048
15 ValladolidValladolid3943-5046
16 Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad3948-5545
17 LeganesLeganes3942-4842
18 CadizCadiz3936-5639
19 HuescaHuesca3940-6136
20 MirandesMirandes3942-6536
21 ZaragozaZaragoza3933-5335
22 Cultural LeonesaCultural3936-6433
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