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Valladolid

€31.70m

31 Mar15:30
3 : 0

Cadiz CF

€22.60m

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Valladolid vs Cadiz CF Prediction Segunda División

Valladolid vs Cadiz CF prediction: LaLiga 2 value and risk

Valladolid vs Cadiz CF Prediction starts with a simple detail that shapes the whole night: this Segunda División match kicks off on Tuesday, 31 March 2026 at 20:30 GMT, and it comes with the kind of stakes that make coaches reach for the “control first” page of the notebook. Valladolid are the more expensive squad on paper (€31.6.6m vs €22.60m), they are at home, and the market leans their way. But Cádiz have made a habit of being uncomfortable guests, and that tension is exactly what makes this fixture so interesting.

Match overview, stakes, and how it may look on the pitch

Valladolid usually want to play with structure: patient circulation, full-backs involved, and enough numbers in the final third to win second balls. If they hit their rhythm, they can camp in the opponent’s half and make the game feel long. Cádiz, on the other hand, are often happier when the match is messy in small doses—compact lines, quick counters, and set-piece discipline. In LaLiga 2, that profile travels well.

  • Tempo question: Valladolid may dominate phases, but Cádiz can keep the score close and wait for moments.
  • Key battleground: transitions after turnovers—Valladolid’s rest defense versus Cádiz’s direct runs.
  • Discipline factor: we’re expecting more cards for the visitors (2 vs 1), which hints at Cádiz defending deeper for spells.

Head to head notes and recent “against the odds” reminders

The most recent head to head reference we have (16 September 2022) ended 0-1 to Cádiz, a tidy reminder that Valladolid dominance does not always equal points. Betting odds back then also leaned toward Valladolid (2.09 home) while Cádiz were priced at 4.15, so the pattern of “market favorite meets stubborn opponent” is not new.

And both teams have recent stories that fit the theme. Valladolid’s 2.52 away win at Alavés on 18 October 2024 came with huge odds (6.6), showing they can win games that look unlikely on paper. Cádiz’s 2-2 away draw at Deportivo La Coruña on 4 January 2026 (also priced at 6.6 for the win) showed their ability to steal value on the road, even when few expect it.

Odds check: what the market is saying

Current betting odds list Valladolid at 1.58, the draw at 4.15, and Cádiz at 6.6. That is a strong home lean, but not an absolute one—LaLiga 2 rarely is. It suggests Valladolid are expected to lead the game, while Cádiz are priced as a team that needs things to go their way.

NerdyTips AI picks, projected stats, and score call

Now for our Valladolid vs Cadiz CF prediction based on the provided model outputs: the standout value angle is X2 (Cádiz win or draw) at 2.52, though confidence is modest (2.7/10). The straight 1x2 leans even harder into the upset: away win “2” at 6.6 with low trust (1.58). In other words, it’s a high-risk read, but the price is doing a lot of the work.

  • Main tip: X2 at 2.52 (confidence 2.7/10)
  • 1x2 lean: Cádiz to win at 6.6 (trust 1.58)
  • Total goals: Over 1.5 at 1.35 (trust 2.0)

The projected match picture is unusual: Valladolid are forecast to have 56% possession and more shots (13 vs 6), including more on target (5 vs 2), plus more corners (4 vs 2). Yet the AI still lands on a 0-2 final score, with 0-1 at half-time. That combination points to a story we often see in Segunda: one side “owns” the ball, the other side owns the big moments. If Cádiz are clinical early and protect the middle, Valladolid’s volume could turn into frustration rather than goals.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Valladolid vs Cadiz CF

X2 152

Cadiz CF to win or draw with odds of 152
2/10

1x2 Tip

2 560

Cadiz CF is expected to win with odds of 560
1/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -345

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No -122

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 210

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:2

Stats Predictions

1.49
xG
0.62
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.33
Expected Goals
0.97
3.5
Total Goals
2.4
1.2
Goals Scored
0.7
2.3
Goals Against
1.7
46%
Possession
50%
11.6
Total Shots
10.4
4.2
Shots on Goal
3
4.1
Shots off Goal
5
14.1
Fouls
14.3
4
Corners
4
2.3
Offsides
2.7
2.1
Yellow Cards
2.56
362
Total Passes
416

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
1
7
Over 1.5 Goals
8
7
Over 2.5 Goals
5
6
Over 3.5 Goals
1
6
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Valladolid
3 - 4 - 3
Cadiz CF
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 09-Nov-25
0:0
Valladolid Valladolid
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 19-May-23
2:0
Valladolid Valladolid
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 29-Dec-20
0:0
Valladolid Valladolid
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 13-Jan-17
0:1
Valladolid Valladolid
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 25-Nov-17
1:0
Valladolid Valladolid
Valladolid Valladolid 31-Mar-26
3:0
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF
Valladolid Valladolid 16-Sep-22
0:1
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF
Valladolid Valladolid 24-Apr-21
1:1
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF
Valladolid Valladolid 10-Jun-17
1:0
Cadiz CF Cadiz CF

Profile time Recent Matches of Valladolid

09 MayW Valladolid Valladolid 2 Zaragoza Zaragoza 0
03 MayL Las Palmas Las Palmas 2 Valladolid Valladolid 1
25 AprW Valladolid Valladolid 1 Real II Real II 0
19 AprL FC Andorra FC Andorra 1 Valladolid Valladolid 0
13 AprD Valladolid Valladolid 0 Eibar Eibar 0
04 AprL Cultural Cultural 1 Valladolid Valladolid 0
31 MarW Valladolid Valladolid 3 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 0
28 MarL Valladolid Valladolid 0 Burgos CF Burgos CF 1
22 MarL Mirandes Mirandes 2 Valladolid Valladolid 1
14 MarW Valladolid Valladolid 3 Leganes Leganes 2

Profile time Recent Matches Of Cadiz CF

15 MayDCastellon Castellon 1 Cadiz Cadiz 1
08 MayLCadiz Cadiz 0 Deportivo C Deportivo C 1
02 MayDCultural Cultural 2 Cadiz Cadiz 2
27 AprLCadiz Cadiz 1 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2
19 AprLSporting G Sporting G 3 Cadiz Cadiz 0
12 AprLCadiz Cadiz 0 FC Andorra FC Andorra 1
04 AprLCadiz Cadiz 1 Cordoba Cordoba 3
31 MarLValladolid Valladolid 3 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 0
28 MarLCeuta Ceuta 2 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 1
21 MarLCadiz CF Cadiz CF 0 Malaga Malaga 3

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team M G P
1 Racing SantanderRacing3981-5875
2 AlmeriaAlmeria3978-5871
3 Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La3960-4171
4 MalagaMalaga3968-5066
5 Las PalmasLas Palmas3952-3766
6 CastellónCastellón3966-4965
7 EibarEibar3948-3664
8 BurgosBurgos3944-3363
9 CordobaCordoba3955-5660
10 FC AndorraFC Andorra3961-4958
11 AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC3947-5955
12 AlbaceteAlbacete3951-5253
13 Sporting GijonSporting Gijon3952-5152
14 Granada CFGranada CF3948-5048
15 ValladolidValladolid3943-5046
16 Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad3948-5545
17 LeganesLeganes3942-4842
18 CadizCadiz3936-5639
19 HuescaHuesca3940-6136
20 MirandesMirandes3942-6536
21 ZaragozaZaragoza3933-5335
22 Cultural LeonesaCultural3936-6433
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