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Torino vs Juventus prediction: Derby della Mole tips
The Torino vs Juventus prediction for the Derby della Mole comes with that familiar end-of-season tension: one last chapter, one last chance to make the neighbors miserable. Mark it down for Sunday, 2026-05-24 at 19:45 GMT, the final day of the Serie A season, when Torino host Juve with plenty of pride on the line and a very clear gap in the market betting odds.
Here are the latest updates, news, and key details that matter for this highly anticipated Derby della Mole: it’s the last round, it’s in Torino, and it’s the kind of match where form can wobble because emotions take over. Still, tactically this one usually follows a script: Torino try to keep their lines tight, play direct when they win it, and make the game scruffy; Juventus look to control territory, keep the ball moving, and turn pressure into set pieces and shots from good areas.
How the game could look on the pitch
Torino’s best path is often a disciplined block and quick breaks, asking their forwards to hold up play and letting runners arrive late. Against a possession-heavy opponent like Juventus, Torino can’t afford silly giveaways in midfield, because Juve love to recycle attacks until the opening appears. The derby factor helps Torino, of course; a few strong tackles and the crowd wakes up, and suddenly every throw-in feels like a corner.
- Match details: Serie A, Sunday 2026-05-24, 19:45 GMT.
- Stakes: final day pressure, local pride, and points that always feel worth more in a derby.
- Squad value snapshot: Torino €134.90m vs Juventus €544.20m, which explains why the market leans away from romance.
The recent head to head is a reminder that Torino can hang around. On 2025-01-11 they drew 1-1, and that match had Torino priced at 4.65 with Juventus at 1.92, so it wasn’t supposed to be close either. Torino also showed their stubborn side on 2026-04-26, holding Inter to a 2-2 draw when Inter were 1.52 favorites. And Juve themselves proved they can survive chaos on the road back on 2024-10-27, drawing 4-4 at Inter as 5.0 underdogs. Derbies aren’t always polite, but they do often come down to who stays calmer.
Torino vs Juventus prediction based on stats and odds
Now to the numbers for this Torino vs Juventus prediction from NerdyTips, where the market and the model basically shake hands and agree on the direction. The 1X2 prices are: Home win 7.25, Draw 4.65, Away win 1.5. That’s a loud vote of confidence for Juve, and our main sports betting angle follows it.
NerdyTips picks and what they suggest
- Best tip: 2 (Juventus win) with trust 5.6/10 and odds 1.53.
- 1x2 prediction: 2 with trust 5.6 and odds 1.53.
- Under/Over: Under 3.5 goals, trust 4.65 and odds 1.54.
- Correct score: 0:2 (half-time 0:1).
The match stats projection lines up neatly with those picks. Juventus are expected to have 67% possession to Torino’s 33%, with shots forecast at 18-9 and shots on goal 6-2. That’s the classic “Juve camped in your half” picture. Corners are also tilted: 6 for Juve, 2 for Torino (8 total). If you’re looking at betting odds and trying to justify them, those chance-creation numbers do most of the talking.
How to connect the bets to the match story
- Juventus to win fits the expected control (possession, shots, corners) and the big squad-value gap.
- Under 3.5 goals matches a 0:2 script and the idea that Torino, at home in a derby, will defend like it’s a family tradition.
- The low card prediction (1-1 yellow cards) hints at a more managed derby than a wild one, even if the fans won’t feel that way.
Bottom line for sports betting: our Torino vs Juventus prediction leans Juventus and a fairly controlled scoreline. Torino can make it uncomfortable, but if Juve turn that possession into early chances, the 0:1 half-time call starts to feel very realistic. Just don’t be shocked if Torino make you sweat for 70 minutes first — it’s the Derby della Mole, after all.
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Best Tip
The best betting football prediction for Torino vs Juventus2 -200
Juventus is expected to win with odds of -2001x2 Tip
2 -200
Juventus is expected to win with odds of -200Total Goals
Under 3.5 -192
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchBoth Teams To Score
No 100
At least one team is not expected to scoreBet Builder Tip
X2&U4.5 -238
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goalsCorrect Score
0:2
Stats Predictions
Average / Match
Overview Last 10 Matches
Head to Head
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1
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7
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20
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Latest Matches
 Juventus |
08-Nov-25
0:0
| Torino  |
| Juventus |
09-Nov-24
2:0
| Torino |
| Juventus |
07-Oct-23
2:0
| Torino |
| Juventus |
28-Feb-23
4:2
| Torino |
| Juventus |
18-Feb-22
1:1
| Torino |
| Juventus |
05-Dec-20
2:1
| Torino |
| Juventus |
04-Jul-20
4:1
| Torino |
| Juventus |
01-Dec-12
3:0
| Torino |
| Juventus |
23-Feb-14
1:0
| Torino |
| Juventus |
30-Nov-14
2:1
| Torino |
Recent Matches of Torino
| 24 May | D |
Torino
| 2 |
Juventus
| 2 |
| 17 May | L |
Cagliari
| 2 |
Torino
| 1 |
| 08 May | W |
Torino
| 2 |
Sassuolo
| 1 |
| 02 May | L |
Udinese
| 2 |
Torino
| 0 |
| 26 Apr | D |
Torino
| 2 |
Inter
| 2 |
| 19 Apr | D |
Cremonese
| 0 |
Torino
| 0 |
| 11 Apr | W |
Torino
| 2 |
Hellas V
| 1 |
| 05 Apr | W |
Pisa
| 0 |
Torino
| 1 |
| 21 Mar | L |
AC Milan
| 3 |
Torino
| 2 |
| 13 Mar | W |
Torino
| 4 |
Parma
| 1 |
Recent Matches Of Juventus
| 24 May | D | Torino |
2 | Juventus |
2 |
| 17 May | L | Juventus |
0 |  Fiorentina |
2 |
| 09 May | W |  Lecce |
0 | Juventus |
1 |
| 03 May | D | Juventus |
1 |  Hellas V |
1 |
| 26 Apr | D |  AC Milan |
0 | Juventus |
0 |
| 19 Apr | W | Juventus |
2 |  Bologna |
0 |
| 11 Apr | W |  Atalanta |
0 | Juventus |
1 |
| 06 Apr | W | Juventus |
2 |  Genoa |
0 |
| 21 Mar | D | Juventus |
1 |  Sassuolo |
1 |
| 14 Mar | W |  Udinese |
0 | Juventus |
1 |
Italy - Serie A
| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter | 37 | 86-32 | 86 |
| 2 |
 Napoli | 37 | 57-36 | 73 |
| 3 |
AC Milan | 37 | 52-33 | 70 |
| 4 |
 AS Roma | 37 | 57-31 | 70 |
| 5 |
 Como | 37 | 61-28 | 68 |
| 6 |
Juventus | 37 | 59-32 | 68 |
| 7 |
 Atalanta | 37 | 50-35 | 58 |
| 8 |
 Bologna | 37 | 46-43 | 55 |
| 9 |
 Lazio | 37 | 39-39 | 51 |
| 10 |
Udinese | 37 | 45-47 | 50 |
| 11 |
Sassuolo | 37 | 46-49 | 49 |
| 12 |
Torino | 37 | 42-61 | 44 |
| 13 |
Parma | 37 | 27-46 | 42 |
| 14 |
 Genoa | 37 | 41-50 | 41 |
| 15 |
 Fiorentina | 37 | 40-49 | 41 |
| 16 |
Cagliari | 37 | 38-52 | 40 |
| 17 |
 Lecce | 37 | 27-50 | 35 |
| 18 |
Cremonese | 37 | 31-53 | 34 |
| 19 |
Hellas Verona | 37 | 25-59 | 21 |
| 20 |
Pisa | 37 | 25-69 | 18 |
