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Stevenage

€8.27m

6 Apr10:00
1 : 0

Blackpool

€14.85m

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Stevenage vs Blackpool Prediction League One

Stevenage vs Blackpool prediction: a tight Monday at the Lamex

The Stevenage vs Blackpool prediction for Monday, 6 April 2026 (15:00 GMT) starts with a simple picture: late-season pressure, two very different moods, and one stadium that rarely gives away easy goals. At the Lamex Stadium, Stevenage are trying to squeeze into the play-offs, while Blackpool arrive still looking over their shoulder at the relegation line.

Stevenage sit 7th and feel like a team that has learned how to win ugly without apologising. Alex Revell, rewarded with a long new deal back in November 2025, has built a group that treats defending like a shared hobby. They come into this after a stubborn 0-0 away at Rotherham on 3 April, following a vital 1-0 win over Reading. If that sounds like a team happy to keep things tight, that’s because they are.

Blackpool, down in 20th, are only two points above trouble but have shown real life lately. Two straight 1-0 wins—Burton (with a late CJ Hamilton moment) and Exeter on Good Friday (Tom Bloxham the scorer)—have given them belief. Ian Evatt, a former Blackpool player, took charge in October 2025 after Steve Bruce was let go, and he’s now got an extra hand on the training pitch too: Steve Thompson joined as assistant in March 2026, a familiar name from the 2010 Premier League journey.

How the game may feel: muscle vs patience

Stevenage’s plan at home is usually clear: be solid first, win second balls, and make every attack feel like it needs permission. Expect a robust back line—often shaped around Luther James-Wildin, Charlie Goode, Carl Piergianni, and Dan Butler—protected by the work rate of Dan Phillips. Up top, Jamie Reid is the main threat, the kind of striker who doesn’t need ten chances, just one scruffy one.

Blackpool under Evatt want more control, but recent results show they can also grind. Their lineup against Exeter—Peacock-Farrell, Walters, Horsfall, Husband, Hamilton, Brown, Honeyman (c), Randall, Coulson, Bloxham, Fletcher—looked built to compete for every yard. Michael Ihiekwe has returned after a toe issue, while Dale Taylor is nearing a comeback, though this may be too soon to throw him in.

  • Table pressure: Stevenage chasing top six; Blackpool trying to stay clear of the bottom four.
  • Recent goals trend: both sides have been living on 1-0s and 0-0s lately.
  • Head to head memory: on 2025-04-18, Blackpool beat Stevenage 3-1, despite betting odds slightly leaning Stevenage (2.85) over Blackpool (2.5).

And if Blackpool fans need a reminder that surprises are possible, they only have to look at 2026-03-21: a 0-0 at Cardiff, with win odds of 7.3. Not glamorous, but it counts—especially in a survival run.

AI picks, betting odds, and match prediction you can use

Now to the numbers, where our Stevenage vs Blackpool prediction becomes more of a story about patience than fireworks. The current 1X2 betting odds read: Home 1.95, Draw 3.3, Away 4.7—suggesting Stevenage are expected to do most of the pushing, even though Blackpool’s squad value (€14.75m) is higher than Stevenage’s (€8.27m). Football remains wonderfully rude about budgets.

NerdyTips betting tips (and why they fit the script)

  • Main bet: Under 2.5 goals at 1.6 (trust rating 7.3/10). Also flagged again for the under/over market with trust 7.4/10.
  • 1X2 lean: Home win (1) at 1.95 (trust level 3.0).

Those tips line up neatly with the match model: Stevenage to control more of the ball (55% vs 45%), take more shots (11 vs 8), and—most importantly—limit Blackpool to very little on target (projected 1 shot on target for the away side). If that’s close to reality, it’s hard to build an Over 2.5 case without a freak early goal turning the game weird.

Projected match stats (the “how it happens” part)

  • On-target shots: Stevenage 4, Blackpool 1
  • Corners: 7 total (Stevenage 4, Blackpool 3)
  • Yellow cards: Stevenage 1, Blackpool 3

So the narrative is familiar: Stevenage probing, Blackpool resisting, and both goalkeepers mostly watching long balls sail overhead. Our AI scoreline goes 1:0, with a 0:0 half-time prediction. In sports betting terms, that makes the under 2.5 goals the most logical angle, while the home win is more of a cautious side dish than the main meal.

If you’re playing the betting odds, think of this as a match where one goal could decide everything—and where “entertainment” might mean a perfectly timed tackle and a corner that causes panic. That’s League One, and that’s why we watch.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Stevenage vs Blackpool

U2.5 -167

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -167
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -105

Stevenage is expected to win with odds of -105
3/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -167

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No -143

At least one team is not expected to score
7/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -294

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.17
xG
0.89
55%
Ball Possession
45%
11
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
1
4
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

1.06
Expected Goals
0.95
1.8
Total Goals
2.6
1
Goals Scored
1.1
0.8
Goals Against
1.5
46%
Possession
44%
10.9
Total Shots
9.6
4.1
Shots on Goal
2.5
4.6
Shots off Goal
4.2
11.5
Fouls
12.5
4.1
Corners
4.7
1.9
Offsides
2
2.1
Yellow Cards
3.11
312
Total Passes
293

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
4
4
Over 1.5 Goals
6
4
Over 2.5 Goals
5
1
Over 3.5 Goals
4
4
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Stevenage
3 - 1 - 4
Blackpool
Blackpool Blackpool 02-Aug-25
2:3
Stevenage Stevenage
Blackpool Blackpool 21-Dec-24
0:0
Stevenage Stevenage
Blackpool Blackpool 14-Oct-23
3:0
Stevenage Stevenage
Blackpool Blackpool 14-Mar-17
1:0
Stevenage Stevenage
Stevenage Stevenage 06-Apr-26
1:0
Blackpool Blackpool
Stevenage Stevenage 18-Apr-25
1:3
Blackpool Blackpool
Stevenage Stevenage 03-Feb-24
1:0
Blackpool Blackpool

Profile time Recent Matches of Stevenage

13 MayL Stockport Stockport 2 Stevenage Stevenage 0
09 MayL Stevenage Stevenage 0 Stockport Stockport 1
02 MayW Stevenage Stevenage 1 Wigan Wigan 0
25 AprD Doncaster Doncaster 1 Stevenage Stevenage 1
21 AprW Stevenage Stevenage 1 Barnsley Barnsley 0
18 AprD Stevenage Stevenage 2 Lincoln Lincoln 2
14 AprL Bolton Bolton 5 Stevenage Stevenage 1
11 AprW Bradford Bradford 0 Stevenage Stevenage 1
06 AprW Stevenage Stevenage 1 Blackpool Blackpool 0
03 AprD Rotherham Rotherham 0 Stevenage Stevenage 0

Profile time Recent Matches Of Blackpool

02 MayWReading Reading 0 Blackpool Blackpool 1
25 AprWBlackpool Blackpool 1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0
18 AprWWycombe Wycombe 0 Blackpool Blackpool 1
11 AprWBlackpool Blackpool 3 Peterborough Peterborough 1
06 AprLStevenage Stevenage 1 Blackpool Blackpool 0
03 AprWBlackpool Blackpool 1 Exeter City Exeter City 0
28 MarWBlackpool Blackpool 1 Burton Burton 0
21 MarDCardiff Cardiff 0 Blackpool Blackpool 0
17 MarWBlackpool Blackpool 3 Port Vale Port Vale 2
14 MarLDoncaster Doncaster 2 Blackpool Blackpool 1

England - League One England - League One

Team M G P
1 LincolnLincoln4689-41103
2 CardiffCardiff4690-5091
3 Stockport CountyStockport4671-5877
4 BradfordBradford4658-5177
5 BoltonBolton4670-5275
6 StevenageStevenage4649-4675
7 LutonLuton4668-5674
8 PlymouthPlymouth4675-6373
9 HuddersfieldHuddersfield4674-6467
10 Mansfield TownMansfield Town4662-5065
11 WycombeWycombe4669-5863
12 ReadingReading4664-6063
13 BlackpoolBlackpool4654-6560
14 DoncasterDoncaster4650-6960
15 BarnsleyBarnsley4668-7359
16 WiganWigan4649-5856
17 Burton AlbionBurton Albion4650-6054
18 PeterboroughPeterborough4664-6853
19 AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon4651-7253
20 Leyton OrientLeyton Orient4659-7152
21 Exeter CityExeter City4652-6149
22 Port ValePort Vale4636-6142
23 RotherhamRotherham4641-7141
24 NorthamptonNorthampton4639-7435
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