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Santos

€98.95m

19 Apr15:00
2 : 3

Fluminense

€112.53m

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Santos vs Fluminense Prediction Serie A

Santos vs Fluminense prediction: odds, form, and best bets

The Santos vs Fluminense prediction for Sunday, 2026-04-19 (20:00 GMT) lands in a classic Brazilian setting: Vila Belmiro, where matches often feel tight, noisy, and decided by small details. This is Round 12 of the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, with Santos trying to steady the ship and Fluminense aiming to keep pace near the top. For fans and sports betting readers alike, the betting odds say this one is as balanced as it gets.

Match context, table pressure, and what’s at stake

Santos enter in 15th, working to stay clear of the relegation zone after a needed league win over Atlético-MG that opened a small cushion from the bottom four. Even with that lift, the mood is still tense after a frustrating 1-1 home draw in the Copa Sudamericana, where they felt they left points on the pitch.

Fluminense arrive in 4th with 20 points, chasing leaders Palmeiras on 26. They are good enough to dream of a title push, but they also come off a painful 2-1 loss to Flamengo and have Copa Libertadores minutes in their legs too, with squad management part of the weekly puzzle.

Coaches, absences, and likely tactical themes

Santos made a big move in March 2026 by bringing back veteran coach Cuca for a fourth spell, a familiar “firefighter” appointment to guide them through rough water. The twist: he was sent off last league match, so assistant Cuquinha will run the touchline here. That often means the same plan, just with fewer gestures and fewer arguments with the fourth official.

  • Santos suspensions: Escobar (left-back) out after his third yellow; Cuca also suspended.
  • Santos injuries: Vini Lira (ACL) and Gabriel Menino (thigh) sidelined.

Fluminense, led by Argentine coach Luis Zubeldía (in charge since late 2025), have leaned into rotation to survive the calendar. Expect Flu to value control and field position, especially away from home, while Santos may look to compete first and create second.

Head to head snapshot

The most recent head to head meeting (2025-08-31) finished 0-0, and recent “big-odds” road draws suggest both sides can be stubborn: Santos held Cruzeiro 0-0 away on 2026-03-22 (win odds were 5.6), and Fluminense earned a 0-0 at Palmeiras on 2025-11-23 (win odds were 7.0). That history fits the feeling of a cautious first half.

Our AI-based Santos vs Fluminense prediction and betting odds

The market is split: Home win 2.35, Draw 3.35, Away win 2.35. Those betting odds tell you bookmakers see very little between them, even though Fluminense’s squad value (€112.353m) edges Santos (€98.95m). For sports betting purposes, that small gap matters because it can show up in shot quality rather than possession dominance.

Most profitable angle: X2

  • Best value bet: X2 (Fluminense win or draw)
  • Odds: 1.650
  • Trust rating: 5.0/10

With Flu slightly stronger on paper and Santos missing pieces (plus no Cuca on the sideline), the X2 covers the scenario where Fluminense don’t sparkle but still avoid defeat.

1X2 and goals: what the numbers lean toward

  • 1X2 pick: Away win (2) at 2.35, trust 4.0/10
  • Under/Over: Under 2.35 goals at 1.656, confidence 3.35/10
  • Correct score: 0:1
  • Half-time: 0:0

Game flow forecasts support the under: possession 47% vs 53%, shots 12 vs 14, but on-target only 2 for Santos and 5 for Fluminense. Add an expected 9 corners (4-5) and a card split of 3 Santos yellows to 1 for Fluminense, and you get a match where Santos may defend aggressively, while Flu create the cleaner looks.

Final call: this Santos vs Fluminense prediction points to a narrow Fluminense edge, with X2 the safer route for bettors who prefer stability over drama—because sometimes the best win is simply not losing.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Santos vs Fluminense

X2 -154

Fluminense to win or draw with odds of -154
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 230

Fluminense is expected to win with odds of 230
3/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -139

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -114

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -118

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

1.13
xG
0.98
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.21
Expected Goals
1.15
2.2
Total Goals
2.5
1.1
Goals Scored
1.4
1.1
Goals Against
1.1
51%
Possession
62%
13
Total Shots
17.1
2.9
Shots on Goal
6.3
5.5
Shots off Goal
6.4
12
Fouls
12.9
4.8
Corners
5.8
2
Offsides
1.4
2.9
Yellow Cards
1.6
408
Total Passes
534

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
4
7
Over 1.5 Goals
7
4
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Santos
11 - 7 - 13
Fluminense
Fluminense Fluminense 13-Apr-25
1:0
Santos Santos
Fluminense Fluminense 29-Jul-23
1:0
Santos Santos
Fluminense Fluminense 09-Apr-22
0:0
Santos Santos
Fluminense Fluminense 17-Jun-21
1:0
Santos Santos
Fluminense Fluminense 25-Oct-20
3:1
Santos Santos
Fluminense Fluminense 06-Oct-10
0:3
Santos Santos
Fluminense Fluminense 01-Oct-11
3:2
Santos Santos
Fluminense Fluminense 07-Sep-12
3:1
Santos Santos
Fluminense Fluminense 01-Sep-13
0:2
Santos Santos
Fluminense Fluminense 20-Jul-14
1:0
Santos Santos

Profile time Recent Matches of Santos

13 MayW Coritiba Coritiba 0 Santos Santos 2
10 MayW Santos Santos 2 Bragantino Bragantino 0
06 MayD Deportivo R Deportivo R 1 Santos Santos 1
02 MayD Palmeiras Palmeiras 1 Santos Santos 1
28 AprD San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1 Santos Santos 1
25 AprD Bahia Bahia 2 Santos Santos 2
22 AprD Santos Santos 0 Coritiba Coritiba 0
19 AprL Santos Santos 2 Fluminense Fluminense 3
15 AprD Santos Santos 1 Deportivo R Deportivo R 1
12 AprW Santos Santos 1 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 0

Profile time Recent Matches Of Fluminense

13 MayWFluminense Fluminense 2 Operario-PR Operario-PR 1
09 MayDFluminense Fluminense 2 Vitoria Vitoria 2
07 MayDIndepend. R Independ. R 1 Fluminense Fluminense 1
03 MayLInternacional Internacional 2 Fluminense Fluminense 0
30 AprLBolivar Bolivar 2 Fluminense Fluminense 0
27 AprWFluminense Fluminense 2 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 1
24 AprDOperario-PR Operario-PR 0 Fluminense Fluminense 0
19 AprWSantos Santos 2 Fluminense Fluminense 3
16 AprLFluminense Fluminense 1 Independ. R Independ. R 2
12 AprLFluminense Fluminense 1 Flamengo Flamengo 2

Brazil - Serie A Brazil - Serie A

Team M G P
1 PalmeirasPalmeiras1525-1234
2 FlamengoFlamengo1427-1230
3 FluminenseFluminense1525-2027
4 Sao PauloSao Paulo1521-1624
5 Atletico ParanaenseAtletico1520-1623
6 BahiaBahia1420-1822
7 RB BragantinoRB Bragantino1517-1820
8 Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama1521-2120
9 CoritibaCoritiba1518-1920
10 VitoriaVitoria1418-2019
11 CruzeiroCruzeiro1520-2519
12 BotafogoBotafogo1426-2718
13 Atletico-MGAtletico-MG1518-2118
14 InternacionalInternacional1516-1618
15 SantosSantos1521-2218
16 CorinthiansCorinthians1513-1518
17 GremioGremio1515-1717
18 MirassolMirassol1416-2013
19 RemoRemo1516-2512
20 Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc1414-279
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