1. Home
  2. Leagues
  3. Super League 1
  4. PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Finished

PAOK

€96.82m

3 May12:00
3 : 1

Olympiakos

€137.65m

Preview

PAOK vs Olympiakos Prediction Super League 1

PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction: a tight night at Toumba

If you’re looking for a PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction that feels grounded in what these two usually serve up, start with the setting: Super League 1 Championship Group playoffs, Sunday, 2026-05-03, kicking off at 17:00 GMT at Toumba Stadium (19:00 local time). It’s the sort of afternoon where the noise arrives early, the tackles arrive earlier, and nobody wants to be the one who “lost it” in May.

What to expect on the pitch before we talk bets

This matchup often turns into a chess game with studs. PAOK at Toumba tend to play with courage and emotion, but in playoff football that also means knowing when to slow it down and keep shape. Olympiakos, with the bigger squad value (€137.65m vs PAOK’s €96.82m), usually look a bit more comfortable managing the ugly parts: game tempo, little fouls, and the art of making your opponent take one extra touch.

Style notes and little edges

The most recent head to head (2025-10-05) went PAOK’s way, 2-1. That matters, but it doesn’t guarantee a repeat—these games rarely follow the polite logic of “last time.” What it does tell us is PAOK can hurt Olympiakos if they press at the right moments and attack second balls.

  • PAOK’s home pattern: energy, quick counters, and a crowd that can turn a throw-in into a life event.
  • Olympiakos’ away mindset: patient build-up, fewer risks, and waiting for the opponent to blink first.
  • Recent giant-killing memory: PAOK’s 3-4 win away at Lille (odds were 5.4) shows they can stay brave under pressure.
  • Olympiakos’ statement win: that 0-1 away at Porto (odds 5.59) screams “we’re fine with winning without fireworks.”

If you want a simple picture: PAOK will try to make Toumba a storm; Olympiakos will try to bring an umbrella and wait for the storm to pass.

PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction: betting tips & AI angles

Now to the numbers that matter for your slip. The 1X2 odds lean away: Home win 3.35, Draw 3.35, Away win 2.7. That’s the market saying Olympiakos have the slightly steadier hand, even in Thessaloniki.

Main betting tips from the models

NerdyTips’ pick and our model both circle the same idea: low scoring. That matches the “playoffs + big teams + cautious coaching” recipe we see so often.

  • Best wager: Under 2.7 goals at 1.61, confidence 6.0/10 (NerdyTips) and trust 6.1 (our AI).
  • Best 1X2 lean: Away win (2) at odds 2.7, trust score 4.2.
  • Correct score call: 0:1, with an anticipated half-time score of 0:1.

Why “under” fits the match story

The projected match stats read like a tight, tactical grind: possession 49% vs 51%, shots 7 vs 11, on-target 1 vs 2, corners 3-3 (six total), and just one yellow each. That’s not the profile of a wild 3-3. It’s more like a game where chances are rationed like good coffee.

So, for your final PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction: the safer angle is Under 2.7 at 1.61, and if you want a bolder sprinkle, Olympiakos to win narrowly makes sense with the 0:1 read. Just don’t expect a goal festival—these two rarely hand those out for free.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Olympiakos Piraeus didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for PAOK vs Olympiakos

U2.5 -164

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -164
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 170

Olympiakos is expected to win with odds of 170
4/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -164

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -123

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -175

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

0.93
xG
1.24
49%
Ball Possession
51%
7
Total Shots
11
1
Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots Off Goal
5
3
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.41
Expected Goals
1.59
2.4
Total Goals
1.3
1.3
Goals Scored
0.9
1.1
Goals Against
0.4
58%
Possession
59%
10.7
Total Shots
17.1
2.7
Shots on Goal
4.4
5.2
Shots off Goal
7.6
14.3
Fouls
12.4
5.1
Corners
5.7
2
Offsides
2.1
1.3
Yellow Cards
1.4
492
Total Passes
481

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
4
7
Over 1.5 Goals
5
5
Over 2.5 Goals
2
2
Over 3.5 Goals
0
4
Both Teams Scored
1
0
Unexpected Wins
0
2
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

PAOK
16 - 11 - 25
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK PAOK 05-Oct-25
2:1
Olympiakos Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK PAOK 06-Apr-25
2:1
Olympiakos Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK PAOK 10-Nov-24
2:3
Olympiakos Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK PAOK 12-May-24
2:0
Olympiakos Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK PAOK 18-Feb-24
1:4
Olympiakos Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK PAOK 14-May-23
0:1
Olympiakos Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK PAOK 05-Feb-23
0:0
Olympiakos Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK PAOK 04-May-22
1:2
Olympiakos Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK PAOK 21-Apr-22
0:0
Olympiakos Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK PAOK 30-Jan-22
1:1
Olympiakos Olympiakos Piraeus

Profile time Recent Matches of PAOK

13 MayD PAOK PAOK 1 AEK A AEK A 1
10 MayD Olympiakos Olympiakos 1 PAOK PAOK 1
03 MayW PAOK PAOK 3 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1
25 AprL PAOK PAOK 2 OFI OFI 3
19 AprL AEK A AEK A 3 PAOK PAOK 0
05 AprD PAOK PAOK 0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0
22 MarL Volos Volos 2 PAOK PAOK 1
15 MarW PAOK PAOK 3 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0
08 MarD Olympiakos Olympiakos 0 PAOK PAOK 0
04 MarW Kifisia Kifisia 1 PAOK PAOK 4

Profile time Recent Matches Of Olympiakos

13 MayWOlympiakos Olympiakos 1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0
10 MayDOlympiakos Olympiakos 1 PAOK PAOK 1
03 MayLPAOK PAOK 3 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1
19 AprWPanathinaikos Panathinaikos 0 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2
05 AprLOlympiakos Olympiakos 0 AEK A AEK A 1
22 MarDOlympiakos Olympiakos 0 AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 0
14 MarWOFI Crete OFI Crete 0 Olympiakos Olympiakos 3
08 MarDOlympiakos Olympiakos 0 PAOK PAOK 0
01 MarWPanserraikos Panserraikos 1 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2
24 FebDLeverkusen Leverkusen 0 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0

Greece - Super League 1 Greece - Super League 1

Team M G P
1 AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC3055-1870
2 PAOKPAOK3056-2262
3 Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos3049-1662
4 PanathinaikosPanathinaikos3045-3051
Video preview
Bankers
All Matches
Bet Builder
Log In
Register