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Levante

€86.70m

8 May15:00
3 : 2

Osasuna

€100.80m

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Levante vs Osasuna Prediction La Liga

Levante vs Osasuna prediction: low-scoring Friday in Valencia

For our Levante vs Osasuna prediction, circle Friday, 8 May 2026. Levante welcome Osasuna to the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia for La Liga Round 35, with kick-off set for 20:00 GMT (19:00 UTC). It reads like one of those end-of-season nights where every tackle feels a little louder and every point looks a little heavier—especially for a Levante side that really needs the home crowd to turn nervous energy into momentum.

Match details, context, and what to expect

The betting market paints a tight picture: Levante are priced at 2.54 for a home win, the draw sits at 3.3, and Osasuna are 3.0 to take it. On paper, the visitors carry the higher squad value (€100.80m vs €86.70m), but this fixture has the ingredients for a balanced, slightly scruffy contest rather than a clean numbers exercise.

Levante have already shown this season they can ignore the script. Back on 2026-03-16, they went to Rayo Vallecano with long odds (5.5) and came away with a 1:1 draw. Osasuna have had their own “don’t tell us the probabilities” moment too—beating Real Madrid 2:1 on 2026-02-21 despite win odds of 5.1. In other words: both teams can be stubborn, and both can land a punch when the room isn’t expecting it.

Tactical notes: a game of small margins

Levante at home usually try to keep their shape and stay connected between the lines, preferring to build with patience rather than turning every possession into a sprint. Osasuna, meanwhile, are generally comfortable without the ball for spells, and they tend to make matches uncomfortable through pressure, duels, and quick vertical moves once they win it back.

The pre-match model suggests possession will be near-even, with Osasuna slightly ahead (48% vs 52%). That fits the likely rhythm: Levante probing, Osasuna shading the ball and trying to strike in transitions. The shot estimates also hint at a match with effort but not necessarily fireworks—15 shots for Levante and 11 for Osasuna, yet both teams projected for just 4 shots on target each.

Small match indicators worth watching

  • Corners: 7 total expected (Levante 4, Osasuna 3), suggesting pressure phases rather than constant waves.
  • Discipline: 3 yellows projected (Levante 1, Osasuna 2), a sign of controlled intensity, not chaos.
  • Head to head feel: even when these sides trade momentum, they often do it in tight sequences—good for unders, tricky for big-score calls.

NerdyTips angles: betting odds and model picks

Now to the numbers that matter for a Levante vs Osasuna prediction on NerdyTips. Our 1X2 lean is the home win (1) at odds of 2.54, but it comes with modest confidence (3.0). That’s the model saying: “Levante edge it… but don’t expect an easy ride.” The draw at 3.3 remains a live outcome if the game stays locked into that cautious tempo.

The clearer angle comes in the total goals market. NerdyTips’ AI flags Under 3.5 goals as the best wager, priced at 1.37 and rated 5.1/10 for confidence. That aligns neatly with the match texture suggested by the stats: moderate shot volume, limited shots on target, and a possession split that doesn’t scream dominance.

AI predictions summary

  • Best bet: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.37, confidence 5.1/10)
  • 1X2 pick: Levante win (odds 2.54, confidence 3.0)
  • Correct score: 1:0
  • Half-time: 0:0

If you like a narrative: this looks like a Friday night where the first half is a chessboard, the second half is a coin flip, and the deciding moment is a single well-worked move or one set-piece that finally lands. For betting, the odds and the projections both point to keeping expectations modest on total goals—and letting the match decide which side earns the right to celebrate.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Levante didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Levante vs Osasuna

U3.5 -270

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -270
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 154

Levante is expected to win with odds of 154
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -270

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No 115

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -145

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.63
xG
1.21
48%
Ball Possession
52%
15
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.32
Expected Goals
1.33
2.6
Total Goals
2.6
1.2
Goals Scored
1.2
1.4
Goals Against
1.4
43%
Possession
50%
13.8
Total Shots
12.7
4.2
Shots on Goal
4.6
5.1
Shots off Goal
4.6
13.4
Fouls
13.3
5
Corners
4.4
1.1
Offsides
1.7
2.3
Yellow Cards
2.1
338
Total Passes
423

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
3
Over 2.5 Goals
6
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
4
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Levante
4 - 3 - 8
Osasuna
Osasuna Osasuna 08-Dec-25
2:0
Levante Levante
Osasuna Osasuna 19-Mar-22
3:1
Levante Levante
Osasuna Osasuna 27-Sep-20
1:3
Levante Levante
Osasuna Osasuna 24-Jan-20
2:0
Levante Levante
Osasuna Osasuna 03-Oct-10
1:1
Levante Levante
Osasuna Osasuna 30-Oct-11
2:0
Levante Levante
Osasuna Osasuna 30-Sep-12
4:0
Levante Levante
Osasuna Osasuna 29-Sep-13
0:1
Levante Levante
Levante Levante 05-Dec-21
0:0
Osasuna Osasuna

Profile time Recent Matches of Levante

12 MayW Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2 Levante Levante 3
08 MayW Levante Levante 3 Osasuna Osasuna 2
02 MayL Villarreal Villarreal 5 Levante Levante 1
27 AprD Espanyol Espanyol 0 Levante Levante 0
23 AprW Levante Levante 2 Sevilla Sevilla 0
13 AprW Levante Levante 1 Getafe Getafe 0
04 AprL Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2 Levante Levante 0
21 MarW Levante Levante 4 R. Oviedo R. Oviedo 2
16 MarD Vallecano Vallecano 1 Levante Levante 1
07 MarD Levante Levante 1 Girona Girona 1

Profile time Recent Matches Of Osasuna

12 MayLOsasuna Osasuna 1 Atletico M Atletico M 2
08 MayLLevante Levante 3 Osasuna Osasuna 2
02 MayLOsasuna Osasuna 1 Barcelona Barcelona 2
26 AprWOsasuna Osasuna 2 Sevilla Sevilla 1
21 AprLAthletic C Athletic C 1 Osasuna Osasuna 0
12 AprDOsasuna Osasuna 1 Real Betis Real Betis 1
05 AprDAlaves Alaves 2 Osasuna Osasuna 2
21 MarWOsasuna Osasuna 1 Girona Girona 0
15 MarLReal Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 Osasuna Osasuna 1
07 MarDOsasuna Osasuna 2 Mallorca Mallorca 2

Spain - La Liga Spain - La Liga

Team M G P
1 BarcelonaBarcelona3691-3291
2 Real MadridReal Madrid3570-3377
3 VillarrealVillarreal3667-4369
4 Atletico MadridAtletico3660-3966
5 Real BetisReal Betis3656-4457
6 Celta VigoCelta Vigo3651-4750
7 GetafeGetafe3631-3748
8 Real SociedadReal Sociedad3554-5544
9 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano3637-4344
10 Athletic ClubAthletic Club3640-5344
11 ValenciaValencia3639-5143
12 SevillaSevilla3646-5843
13 OsasunaOsasuna3643-4742
14 EspanyolEspanyol3640-5342
15 AlavesAlaves3642-5440
16 ElcheElche3647-5639
17 MallorcaMallorca3644-5539
18 LevanteLevante3644-5939
19 GironaGirona3537-5239
20 OviedoOviedo3526-5429
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