England
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Leicester vs Hull City prediction: pressure, points, and a thin margin
The Leicester vs Hull City prediction for Tuesday, 21 April 2026 (19:45 GMT) comes with a rare mix of fear and hope. Leicester sit 23rd on 41 points and are staring at the kind of spring nobody wants, while Hull are 6th on 68 points and trying to keep the final playoff seat warm with only three games left. It’s a six-pointer in two different languages: Leicester talking survival, Hull talking promotion dreams.
Context, form, and why this game feels so tense
Leicester’s season has been defined by damage control. A six-point deduction earlier in the campaign already pushed them into the red zone, and a recent 1-0 loss to Portsmouth piled on the anxiety. With the table so tight at the bottom, another failure to win could even make relegation a mathematical fact. Ten years after that famous Premier League title, the club is now fighting to avoid a second straight drop—football can be cruelly poetic.
Hull arrive with very different worries. They hold 6th, but only by a small cushion: two points over Wrexham in 7th and three over Derby in 8th. Their run-in has been slippery; they are winless in four, most recently drawing 1-1 with Birmingham after being in front. That pattern has been costly all season—Hull have dropped 21 points from winning positions, which is the sort of statistic that keeps coaches awake at night.
Team news and tactical shape: who can actually field a back line?
Gary Rowett has been scraping results with draws since taking over in February 2026, but wins have been rare: Leicester have just one victory in their last 18 matches and none in their last five. The bigger issue is personnel, especially in defense. Centre-backs Caleb Okoli and Ben Nelson are out for the season, and there are doubts over Jordan James (Achilles), Aaron Ramsey (virus/hamstring), and Victor Kristiansen (knee). A small boost is Jannik Vestergaard returning from a hernia operation, likely to partner Jamaal Lascelles—experience, if not ideal freshness.
Hull’s Sergej Jakirovic has his own list. Toby Collyer is out for the regular season after an ankle injury in training, and Cody Drameh is also done for the year. Still, Hull are getting a big late lift with multiple players returning, led by Ryan Giles back from a hamstring issue since February, plus Yu Hirakawa, Lewis Koumas, Akin Famewo, and Eliot Matazo. That matters, because Hull want to attack wide and cross early; Giles adds real tempo to that plan.
- Leicester approach: likely compact and cautious early, trying to keep it level and avoid panic.
- Hull approach: wider build-up and aggressive spells, but they must protect leads better than they have.
- Head to head: last meeting on 2023-09-02 ended Leicester 0-1 Hull, a reminder that “table logic” is not always football logic.
Leicester vs Hull City prediction based on odds and NerdyTips data
Now to the numbers that drive sports betting decisions. The current betting odds show Leicester as a slight favorite: Home win 2.18, Draw 3.355, Away win 3.355. That price reflects Hull’s away threat, but also Leicester’s urgency and home edge.
Best bets: safety first, then the bolder angle
NerdyTips points to 1X (home win or draw) as the best tip, with trust 8.5/10 at odds 1.38. That makes sense in a match where Leicester’s need is extreme and Hull have struggled to close games out. For the 1X2 market, our AI leans to Leicester to win (1) with a 7.1 trust level at odds 2.18—more risk, more reward.
- Best tip (safer): 1X at 1.38 (trust 8.5/10).
- 1X2 pick: 1 at 2.18 (trust 7.1/10).
- Goals market: Under 3.35 goals at 1.42 (trust 6.3/10).
How the match stats support the picks
The model expects Leicester to control about 59% possession, with a 17–10 edge in shots and 5–3 in shots on target. Corners lean heavily Leicester too (6–2, total 8), which fits the idea of the Foxes doing most of the pushing. Discipline also points to game state: Leicester 1 yellow vs Hull 3 yellows suggests the Tigers may spend longer defending transitions.
There’s also a financial gap: Leicester’s squad value is €145.15m versus Hull’s €81.75m. Value is not a guarantee, but in a tense home game it often shows up in small moments—one better first touch, one calmer pass under pressure.
Predicted score and a small story to finish
The predicted final score is 1-0, with a 0-0 half-time. That lines up neatly with Under 3.35 and with the expectation of Leicester starting carefully before turning the screw. If you want a narrative: a tight first half, some Hull resistance, then Leicester finally finding one clear chance—followed by 20 minutes of everyone in blue and white checking the clock like it owes them money. For bettors, this Leicester vs Hull City prediction is about trusting the home side not to lose (1X), and cautiously backing a low-scoring game given the pressure and the stakes.
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Best Tip
The best betting football prediction for Leicester vs Hull City1X -263
Leicester to win or draw with odds of -2631x2 Tip
1 118
Leicester is expected to win with odds of 118Total Goals
Under 3.5 -238
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchBoth Teams To Score
No 120
At least one team is not expected to scoreBet Builder Tip
1X&U5.5 -204
Home win/draw and under 5.5 goalsHalf-Time Score
0:0
Correct Score
1:0
Stats Predictions
Average / Match
Overview Last 10 Matches
Head to Head
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5
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4
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4
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Latest Matches
 Hull City |
21-Oct-25
2:1
| Leicester  |
| Hull City |
09-Mar-24
2:2
| Leicester |
| Hull City |
20-Jul-22
0:4
| Leicester |
| Hull City |
27-Oct-15
1:1
| Leicester |
| Hull City |
03-Dec-11
2:1
| Leicester |
| Hull City |
26-Dec-12
0:0
| Leicester |
| Hull City |
28-Dec-14
0:1
| Leicester |
| Hull City |
13-Aug-16
2:1
| Leicester |
| Leicester |
02-Sep-23
0:1
| Hull City |
Recent Matches of Leicester
| 02 May | W |
Blackburn
| 0 |
Leicester
| 1 |
| 24 Apr | D |
Leicester
| 1 |
Millwall
| 1 |
| 21 Apr | D |
Leicester
| 2 |
Hull City
| 2 |
| 18 Apr | L |
Portsmouth
| 1 |
Leicester
| 0 |
| 11 Apr | L |
Leicester
| 0 |
Swansea
| 1 |
| 06 Apr | D |
Sheffield W
| 1 |
Leicester
| 1 |
| 03 Apr | D |
Leicester
| 2 |
Preston
| 2 |
| 21 Mar | D |
Watford
| 0 |
Leicester
| 0 |
| 14 Mar | L |
Leicester
| 1 |
QPR
| 3 |
| 10 Mar | W |
Leicester
| 2 |
Bristol City
| 0 |
Recent Matches Of Hull City
| 11 May | W |  Millwall |
0 | Hull City |
2 |
| 08 May | D | Hull City |
0 | Millwall |
0 |
| 02 May | W | Hull City |
2 |  Norwich |
1 |
| 25 Apr | L |  Charlton |
2 | Hull City |
1 |
| 21 Apr | D | Leicester |
2 | Hull City |
2 |
| 18 Apr | D | Hull City |
1 |  Birmingham |
1 |
| 11 Apr | L |  Sheffield Utd |
2 | Hull City |
1 |
| 06 Apr | D | Hull City |
0 |  Coventry |
0 |
| 03 Apr | D |  Oxford U |
1 | Hull City |
1 |
| 21 Mar | W | Hull |
3 |  Sheffield Wed |
1 |
England - Championship
| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Coventry | 46 | 97-45 | 95 |
| 2 |
 Ipswich | 46 | 80-47 | 84 |
| 3 |
Millwall | 46 | 64-49 | 83 |
| 4 |
 Southampton | 46 | 82-56 | 80 |
| 5 |
 Middlesbrough | 46 | 72-47 | 80 |
| 6 |
Hull City | 46 | 70-66 | 73 |
| 7 |
 Wrexham | 46 | 69-65 | 71 |
| 8 |
 Derby | 46 | 67-59 | 69 |
| 9 |
 Norwich | 46 | 63-56 | 65 |
| 10 |
 Birmingham | 46 | 57-56 | 64 |
| 11 |
Swansea | 46 | 57-59 | 64 |
| 12 |
Bristol City | 46 | 59-59 | 62 |
| 13 |
 Sheffield Utd | 46 | 66-66 | 60 |
| 14 |
Preston | 46 | 55-62 | 60 |
| 15 |
QPR | 46 | 61-73 | 58 |
| 16 |
Watford | 46 | 53-65 | 57 |
| 17 |
 Stoke City | 46 | 51-56 | 55 |
| 18 |
Portsmouth | 46 | 49-64 | 55 |
| 19 |
 Charlton | 46 | 44-58 | 53 |
| 20 |
Blackburn | 46 | 42-56 | 52 |
| 21 |
 West Brom | 46 | 48-58 | 51 |
| 22 |
 Oxford United | 46 | 45-59 | 47 |
| 23 |
Leicester | 46 | 58-68 | 46 |
| 24 |
Sheffield | 46 | 29-89 | 0 |
