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Hungary flag Hungary
11 Apr09:15
0 : 3

Ujpest

€16.88m

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Kazincbarcikai vs Ujpest Prediction NB I

Kazincbarcikai vs Ujpest prediction for April 11

Mark your calendars: the Kazincbarcikai vs Ujpest prediction for Saturday, 11 April 2026 (14:15 GMT / 15:15 CET) comes with real pressure at both ends of the table. This is Round 29 of Hungary’s NB I (Fizz Liga), and Kolorcity Kazincbarcika SC will again stage a “home” match at DVTK Stadion in Miskolc, as their usual ground still does not meet top-flight requirements.

Context, stakes, and what the table is saying

Kazincbarcika arrive as the newly promoted side stuck in a relegation fight that is starting to feel like a weekly emergency. They sit 12th and are seven points away from safety, and their recent run has been rough: four losses in the last six, with heavy scorelines doing damage to confidence as much as to goal difference. The 0–4 loss to Diósgyőr, 0–3 against Debrecen, and 1–3 versus Győri ETO tell a similar story: once they fall behind, the match can run away from them.

Újpest are not exactly cruising either, but their situation is calmer. They are trying to make their top-flight status secure rather than performing escape artistry. Last weekend’s 2–2 draw with MTK Budapest had a sting, though, because they conceded a 95th-minute equaliser. That late slip hints at one theme for this trip: Újpest may have the stronger squad, but they cannot switch off.

Likely match plan: where the game could be won

Given the setting and the stakes, Kazincbarcika’s best path is usually to stay compact and keep the scoreline alive for as long as possible. Playing away from their true home does not help them create momentum, so expect cautious phases, short passes in safer zones, and a focus on avoiding early mistakes. Still, their recent results suggest that if they open up too soon, they can be punished in transition.

Újpest, with the higher overall quality, should try to control territory and tempo. Their squad value (€16.88m) compared to Kazincbarcika’s (€4.82m) is not the whole story, but it often shows in depth, decision-making, and finishing. If Újpest can move the ball quickly into wide areas and win set pieces, the away side’s pressure should build naturally.

  • Venue note: Kazincbarcika hosting in Miskolc can reduce the usual “home” edge.
  • Head to head: the most recent meeting on 2025-09-20 ended 2–0 for Kazincbarcika, a reminder Újpest cannot take this lightly.
  • Market lean: current betting odds point to the visitors as favourites (Home 4.5, Draw 3.75, Away 1.82).

Our AI angle: numbers that fit the football logic

The Kazincbarcikai vs Ujpest prediction from our model leans to the away win: 1X2 pick is 2 at odds 1.82, with a modest confidence of 4.6/10. That caution makes sense: Kazincbarcika already beat Újpest in the reverse fixture, and relegation teams can be unpredictable when their season is on the line.

Where the model feels slightly more comfortable is total goals. The best tip is over 1.5 goals (odds 1.26) with confidence 5.4/10, matching the separate under/over trust rating of 5.5. In plain terms, the data suggests at least two goals is the most likely storyline—without promising a goal fest.

Stat-based match script (if the model is right)

  • Final score prediction: 0–2, with a 0–1 half-time score.
  • Ball possession: 43% Kazincbarcika vs 57% Újpest, pointing to visitor control.
  • Shots: 10 vs 12, and on target 3 vs 4—edge to Újpest, but not a landslide.
  • Corners: 1 vs 5 (6 total), hinting at Újpest spending more time in attacking zones.
  • Discipline: 2 yellows for the hosts, 1 for the visitors—typical for a team defending more often.

Put together, the betting odds, possession split, corner gap, and 0–2 scoreline all point the same way: Újpest as the likelier winner, with Kazincbarcika needing a near-perfect defensive afternoon to flip the script again. For readers focused on safer angles, over 1.5 total goals looks like the most practical bet-based reading of this match.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Kazincbarcikai vs Ujpest

O1.5 -385

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -385
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 -122

Ujpest is expected to win with odds of -122
4/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -385

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No 110

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -217

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:2

Stats Predictions

1.03
xG
1.28
43%
Ball Possession
57%
10
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
4
1
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.93
Expected Goals
0.99
3.3
Total Goals
2.4
0.8
Goals Scored
1
2.5
Goals Against
1.4
40%
Possession
52%
9.3
Total Shots
11
2.8
Shots on Goal
3.5
4.1
Shots off Goal
4.3
14.8
Fouls
12.3
1.8
Corners
5.1
1.4
Offsides
1.7
2.56
Yellow Cards
1.8
296
Total Passes
402

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
7
Over 2.5 Goals
6
5
Over 3.5 Goals
1
3
Both Teams Scored
6
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Kazincbarcikai
2 - 0 - 2
Ujpest
Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 11-Apr-26
0:3
Ujpest Ujpest
Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 20-Sep-25
2:0
Ujpest Ujpest
Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 26-Sep-12
2:1
Ujpest Ujpest

Profile time Recent Matches of Kazincbarcikai

15 MayD Nyiregyhaza Nyiregyhaza 2 Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 2
02 MayW Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 2 Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC 1
24 AprD Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0
18 AprL Zalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 4 Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 0
11 AprL Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 0 Ujpest Ujpest 3
04 AprL Paks Paks 5 Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 1
22 MarL Kazincbar Kazincbar 1 Gyor Gyor 3
13 MarW Diosgyori Diosgyori 0 Kazincbar Kazincbar 4
08 MarL Kazincbar Kazincbar 0 Debrecen Debrecen 3
04 MarL Kazincbar Kazincbar 0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 5

Profile time Recent Matches Of Ujpest

03 MayLUjpest Ujpest 0 Ferencvarosi Ferencvarosi 5
25 AprLPuskas A Puskas A 2 Ujpest Ujpest 0
17 AprWUjpest Ujpest 7 Nyiregyhaza Nyiregyhaza 2
11 AprWKazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 0 Ujpest Ujpest 3
04 AprDUjpest Ujpest 2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2
21 MarLZalaegerszegi Zalaegerszegi 2 Ujpest Ujpest 0
14 MarWUjpest Ujpest 2 Kisvarda Kisvarda 1
07 MarDUjpest Ujpest 0 Paks Paks 0
28 FebLGyor Gyor 2 Ujpest Ujpest 1
21 FebWUjpest Ujpest 2 Diosgyori Diosgyori 1

Hungary - NB I Hungary - NB I

Team M G P
1 Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3264-3066
2 Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi3264-3165
3 PaksPaks3260-4550
4 Debreceni VSCDebreceni VSC3249-4050
5 Zalaegerszegi TEZalaegerszegi3249-4048
6 Puskas AcademyPuskas Academy3241-4145
7 UjpestUjpest3247-5540
8 Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC3236-4840
9 NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza3245-5539
10 MTK BudapestMTK Budapest3253-6037
11 Diosgyori VTKDiosgyori VTK3238-6228
12 KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3229-6821
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