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Inter vs AS Roma prediction: stats, tactics, and bets
The Inter vs AS Roma prediction for Sunday, 5 April 2026 (19:45 GMT) comes with plenty of storylines at San Siro. Here is the latest news, team updates, and information regarding this Serie A meeting in Milan: the match has big weight for both ends of the table, and both coaches know that one small mistake can swing the night.
Team form, match context, and what to expect
Inter usually try to control games through long spells of possession, pushing their wing-backs high and keeping the ball moving until a gap opens. Roma, on the other hand, are often at their best when they can stay compact, defend their box, and break with purpose rather than trying to trade passes for 90 minutes.
That tactical contrast matters here. If Inter start fast, Roma may spend long periods without the ball and be forced into a “survive first, counter later” plan. If Roma can slow the tempo and win second balls, they can turn this into a grind.
Key angles for bettors (simple but important)
- Inter at home: San Siro tends to suit Inter’s control style, especially when they can pin teams back early.
- Roma’s road resilience: Roma have shown they can produce big away results, like that 2-2 at Bayer Leverkusen in 2024 when they were priced as outsiders.
- Recent head to head: the last head to head on 2025-04-27 ended Inter 0-1 Roma, a reminder that the “better” side on paper does not always win.
On the money side, Inter’s squad value (€636.30m) is higher than Roma’s (€454.50m). That does not decide matches, but over a season it often shows in depth, options off the bench, and the ability to manage tricky moments.
Inter also have a habit of turning tough trips into statement nights—like the surprising 0-0 away draw at Manchester City in 2024, when the pre-match betting odds had them as huge outsiders. Roma have their own “we don’t read the odds” history too, so this is not a spot to bet with emotions only.
Inter vs AS Roma prediction: NerdyTips AI betting picks
Now to the numbers behind our Inter vs AS Roma prediction. The market leans Inter: Home win 1.63, Draw 4.1, Away win 6.3. NerdyTips’ AI agrees with the favorites, but with controlled confidence.
Main 1X2 pick and how it fits the stats
The recommended tip is 1 (Inter win) at 1.63, with a trust rating of 5.1/10. The AI-generated 1x2 prediction also favors 1 (trust 5.2, odds 1.63). That moderate trust makes sense: Inter look stronger, but the recent head to head loss to Roma is a warning label.
- Possession: Inter 66% vs Roma 34% suggests a one-way rhythm for long spells.
- Shots: Inter 16 vs Roma 5 supports the home-win angle in sports betting terms.
- On-target: Inter 4 vs Roma 1 hints Roma may struggle to create clear chances.
- Corners: 5-1 in Inter’s favor points to sustained pressure in the Roma third.
Goals market: why under 3.5 looks logical
The under/over call is Under 3.5 goals at 1.35, with a calculated trust of 4.1. That fits a game where Inter control the ball but do not necessarily turn every attack into a big chance, while Roma focus on limiting damage.
Correct score lean
- Predicted half-time: 1-0
- Predicted final score: 2-0
Discipline numbers (Inter 1 yellow, Roma 2) also suggest a fairly controlled match, with Roma likely making more “stop the counter” fouls if Inter start running at them. In short: the betting odds point to Inter, the stats support Inter, and our Inter vs AS Roma prediction stays with the home win—just remember the head to head history says Roma can be awkward customers.
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Warning
Inter didn't play better in the last H2H match!
Best Tip
The best betting football prediction for Inter vs AS Roma1 -159
Inter is expected to win with odds of -1591x2 Tip
1 -159
Inter is expected to win with odds of -159Total Goals
Under 3.5 -244
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchBoth Teams To Score
No -109
At least one team is not expected to scoreBet Builder Tip
1X&U4.5 -263
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goalsCorrect Score
2:0
Stats Predictions
Average / Match
Overview Last 10 Matches
Head to Head
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14
-
10
-
9
|
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Latest Matches
 AS Roma |
18-Oct-25
0:1
| Inter  |
| AS Roma |
20-Oct-24
0:1
| Inter |
| AS Roma |
10-Feb-24
2:4
| Inter |
| AS Roma |
06-May-23
0:2
| Inter |
| AS Roma |
04-Dec-21
0:3
| Inter |
| AS Roma |
10-Jan-21
2:2
| Inter |
| AS Roma |
19-Jul-20
2:2
| Inter |
| AS Roma |
25-Sep-10
1:0
| Inter |
| AS Roma |
05-Feb-12
4:0
| Inter |
| AS Roma |
20-Jan-13
1:1
| Inter |
Recent Matches of Inter
| 13 May | W |
Lazio
| 0 |
Inter
| 2 |
| 09 May | W |
Lazio
| 0 |
Inter
| 3 |
| 03 May | W |
Inter
| 2 |
Parma
| 0 |
| 26 Apr | D |
Torino
| 2 |
Inter
| 2 |
| 21 Apr | W |
Inter
| 3 |
Como
| 2 |
| 17 Apr | W |
Inter
| 3 |
Cagliari
| 0 |
| 12 Apr | W |
Como
| 3 |
Inter
| 4 |
| 05 Apr | W |
Inter
| 5 |
AS Roma
| 2 |
| 22 Mar | D |
Fiorentina
| 1 |
Inter
| 1 |
| 14 Mar | D |
Inter
| 1 |
Atalanta
| 1 |
Recent Matches Of AS Roma
| 10 May | W |  Parma |
2 | AS Roma |
3 |
| 04 May | W | AS Roma |
4 |  Fiorentina |
0 |
| 25 Apr | W |  Bologna |
0 | AS Roma |
2 |
| 18 Apr | D | AS Roma |
1 |  Atalanta |
1 |
| 10 Apr | W | AS Roma |
3 |  Pisa |
0 |
| 05 Apr | L | Inter |
5 | AS Roma |
2 |
| 22 Mar | W | AS Roma |
1 |  Lecce |
0 |
| 19 Mar | L | AS Roma |
3 | Bologna |
4 |
| 15 Mar | L |  Como |
2 | AS Roma |
1 |
| 12 Mar | D | Bologna |
1 | AS Roma |
1 |
Italy - Serie A
| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter | 36 | 85-31 | 85 |
| 2 |
 Napoli | 36 | 54-36 | 70 |
| 3 |
 Juventus | 36 | 59-30 | 68 |
| 4 |
 AC Milan | 36 | 50-32 | 67 |
| 5 |
AS Roma | 36 | 55-31 | 67 |
| 6 |
Como | 36 | 60-28 | 65 |
| 7 |
Atalanta | 36 | 50-34 | 58 |
| 8 |
 Bologna | 36 | 45-43 | 52 |
| 9 |
Lazio | 36 | 39-37 | 51 |
| 10 |
 Udinese | 36 | 45-46 | 50 |
| 11 |
 Sassuolo | 36 | 44-46 | 49 |
| 12 |
Torino | 36 | 41-59 | 44 |
| 13 |
Parma | 36 | 27-45 | 42 |
| 14 |
 Genoa | 36 | 40-48 | 41 |
| 15 |
Fiorentina | 36 | 38-49 | 38 |
| 16 |
Cagliari | 36 | 36-51 | 37 |
| 17 |
 Lecce | 36 | 24-48 | 32 |
| 18 |
 Cremonese | 36 | 30-53 | 31 |
| 19 |
 Hellas Verona | 36 | 24-58 | 20 |
| 20 |
 Pisa | 36 | 25-66 | 18 |
