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Groningen

€34.00m

10 May10:45
2 : 1

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Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction Eredivisie

Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction and betting preview

The Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction for Sunday, 10 May 2026 (kickoff 15:45 GMT) is a fun one for sports betting fans: a relaxed mid-table home side trying to spoil the party of a visitor chasing the big prizes. It’s Matchday 33 at the Euroborg, and while Groningen can play with a bit more freedom, NEC arrive with Champions League pressure on their shoulders and a habit of scoring goals almost everywhere they go.

Match context, form, and why this game matters

NEC Nijmegen, led by Dick Schreuder, have been one of the stories of the season. They’re sitting 3rd with 56 points (15W, 11D, 6L) and a loud goal difference of 74:50, with Ajax and Twente close enough to make every point feel expensive. Groningen, managed by Dick Lukkien, are 10th on 42 points (12W, 6D, 14L). No relegation panic, no European sprint — but plenty of motivation to end the home campaign with a statement.

  • Groningen home comfort: six home wins this season suggests Euroborg is not a free parking lot.
  • NEC away strength: they own the second-best away record in the league, which fits their possession-first approach.
  • Recent form hint: Groningen’s last weeks have been mixed (including a 3-2 loss at Excelsior), while NEC have drawn often (three 1-1s in five) and also suffered a 5-1 loss to AZ.

Tactics, players to watch, and team news

Schreuder has turned NEC into a ball-playing, attacking team, often in a fluid 3-4-2-1. They like to control games, and they’ve scored in 30 of 32 league matches — that’s the kind of consistency that makes defenders lose sleep. Groningen are usually more pragmatic, but at home they can be brave, especially if they sense NEC are feeling the weight of that top-three race.

Names that shape this matchup

  • Bryan Linssen (NEC): the veteran forward is enjoying a strong campaign with 12 goals in all competitions.
  • Thom van Bergen (Groningen): often the key finisher for the hosts.
  • Mats Seuntjens (Groningen): direct and busy, averaging 2.1 shots on target per match.

On the injury front, Groningen have been hit hard: captain Stije Resink is out long-term with a cruciate injury, Marvin Peersman is sidelined with a broken foot, and Oskar Zawada is also unavailable. That matters against a possession team like NEC: less control in midfield usually means more defending, and more defending usually means more chances conceded.

Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction: odds and AI picks

Let’s talk betting odds. The market prices NEC as the away favorite: home win 2.85, draw 3.7, away win 2.42. That fits the table, the squad values (€34.00m vs €53.50m), and the projected game script: 44% possession Groningen, 56% NEC, with shots at 14 vs 16 and on-target 4 vs 5.

  • Standout pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.62 (confidence 5.5/10).
  • 1X2 pick: Away win (2) @ 2.42 (trust level 2.9).
  • Correct score lean: 1-2, with a 0-1 half-time expectation.

The Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction leans to goals because the numbers line up: NEC create volume, Groningen usually contribute at home, and the head to head also nudges us that way — their most recent meeting (19 July 2025) ended 1-2. Corners (4 vs 6, total 10) also suggest plenty of attacking sequences, not a sleepy midfield stalemate.

If you prefer safer sports betting angles, Over 2.5 at 1.62 is the sensible starting point. If you want the bigger payout, NEC at 2.42 is playable, but our trust is modest — Groningen have already shown they can ruin a script (that surprising 0-0 at Ajax in December 2025 still deserves a small trophy). Final note: expect a competitive game with a couple of yellow cards (1 vs 2), and likely enough action to justify the goal-based approach.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Best Tip odd is moving up from 1.44

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen

O2.5 -161

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -161
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 142

NEC Nijmegen is expected to win with odds of 142
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -161

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -192

Both teams are expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -147

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

1.79
xG
1.58
44%
Ball Possession
56%
14
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.89
Expected Goals
1.71
3.1
Total Goals
3.6
1.6
Goals Scored
1.9
1.5
Goals Against
1.7
50%
Possession
55%
16.4
Total Shots
18.1
5.4
Shots on Goal
6.5
6.6
Shots off Goal
5.8
9.7
Fouls
11.2
5.8
Corners
7.3
1.4
Offsides
1.3
1.5
Yellow Cards
2.25
422
Total Passes
408

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
4
9
Over 1.5 Goals
10
7
Over 2.5 Goals
6
4
Over 3.5 Goals
5
7
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Groningen
6 - 6 - 10
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 09-Nov-25
2:0
Groningen Groningen
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 03-Nov-24
6:0
Groningen Groningen
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 26-Aug-22
1:1
Groningen Groningen
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 31-Oct-21
3:0
Groningen Groningen
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 23-Oct-10
3:2
Groningen Groningen
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 25-Feb-12
4:0
Groningen Groningen
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 27-Jan-13
2:1
Groningen Groningen
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 03-Aug-13
1:4
Groningen Groningen
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 25-Oct-15
1:1
Groningen Groningen
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 05-Nov-16
1:1
Groningen Groningen

Profile time Recent Matches of Groningen

10 MayW Groningen Groningen 2 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1
02 MayL Groningen Groningen 2 Excelsior Excelsior 3
25 AprL Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 Groningen Groningen 1
11 AprD Groningen Groningen 0 Ahead E Ahead E 0
04 AprW Telstar Telstar 0 Groningen Groningen 2
22 MarW Groningen Groningen 3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0
13 MarD Zwolle Zwolle 1 Groningen Groningen 1
07 MarW Groningen Groningen 3 Ajax Ajax 1
01 MarL FC Volendam FC Volendam 3 Groningen Groningen 2
22 FebL Twente Twente 2 Groningen Groningen 1

Profile time Recent Matches Of NEC Nijmegen

10 MayLGroningen Groningen 2 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1
02 MayDNEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 Telstar Telstar 1
25 AprDTwente Twente 1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1
19 AprLAZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 5 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1
12 AprDNEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1
04 AprWExcelsior Excelsior 0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2
22 MarDNijmegen Nijmegen 2 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2
14 MarWPSV PSV 2 Nijmegen Nijmegen 3
08 MarWNijmegen Nijmegen 3 FC Volendam FC Volendam 0
03 MarWNijmegen Nijmegen 3 PSV PSV 2

Netherlands - Eredivisie Netherlands - Eredivisie

Team M G P
1 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3396-4481
2 FeyenoordFeyenoord3368-4462
3 TwenteTwente3358-3558
4 NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3375-5256
5 AjaxAjax3362-4155
6 AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3355-4851
7 UtrechtUtrecht3353-4250
8 HeerenveenHeerenveen3357-5350
9 GroningenGroningen3347-4445
10 Sparta RotterdamSparta3338-5943
11 Fortuna SittardFortuna3349-6139
12 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead3353-5138
13 PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3344-6937
14 ExcelsiorExcelsior3340-5435
15 TelstarTelstar3347-5434
16 FC VolendamFC Volendam3334-5332
17 NAC BredaNAC Breda3332-5528
18 HeraclesHeracles3334-8319
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