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Italy flag Italy

Fiorentina

€243.85m

10 May09:00
0 : 0

Genoa

€150.60m

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Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction Serie A

Fiorentina vs Genoa prediction: a tight Sunday in Florence

The Fiorentina vs Genoa prediction for Sunday, 10 May 2026 (14:00 GMT) feels like one of those Serie A afternoons where the coffee is strong, the margins are small, and the Stadio Artemio Franchi expects a response. Listed for 13:00 UTC online and 14:00 GMT on the clocks, it’s Fiorentina vs Genoa in Florence, with plenty riding on details rather than drama.

From a match context point of view, this is a classic “who blinks first?” type of fixture. Fiorentina usually want the ball, want to set the rhythm, and want to turn territory into set pieces and second balls. Genoa, meanwhile, are often happiest when the game becomes uncomfortable for the home side: compact blocks, patient defending, and quick breaks when the moment is right.

Match context, tactics, and what the numbers hint at

On paper, the market leans Viola: betting odds have Fiorentina at 2.12, the draw at 3.4, and Genoa at 3.85. The squad values tell a similar story—Fiorentina around €243.855m versus Genoa’s €150.60m—but matches aren’t decided by Transfermarkt screenshots.

  • Possession forecast: Fiorentina 53% vs Genoa 47%—enough for the hosts to probe, not enough to relax.
  • Shots expected: 13-10, with on-target 4-2—suggesting chances, but not a carnival.
  • Corners projected: 4-3 (7 total)—set pieces could matter more than open-play fireworks.

The recent head to head also adds spice. In their latest meeting on 2025-02-02, Fiorentina edged it 2-1. And if anyone needs reminding that football has a sense of humor, Fiorentina held Inter to a 1-1 on 2026-03-22 despite Inter being priced around 1.68, while Genoa went to Atalanta on 2026-05-02 and came back with a stubborn 0-0 at huge odds (6.8). This is why sports betting keeps us humble.

Our Fiorentina vs Genoa prediction picks and betting angles

Now to the NerdyTips board: our Fiorentina vs Genoa prediction leans toward a controlled, low-scoring script. The data points—limited on-target shots, moderate corner count, and a slow first half—line up with a match where one goal might be enough.

Main betting tips (AI-driven)

  • NG (at least one team will not score) at 1.95, confidence 7.2/10 — the standout pick given the 4 vs 2 on-target forecast and Genoa’s proven ability to grind.
  • Under 3.4 goals at 1.29, trust 7.0 — supports the same story: controlled tempo, few clear chances.
  • 1X (Fiorentina or Draw) at 1.31, trust level 2.12 — safer on paper, but we’re less convinced it’s “free money.”

For correct score fans, the model lands on 1:0, with a 0:0 half-time. That fits a game where Fiorentina have more of the ball, Genoa keep their shape, and the decisive moment could be a late spell of pressure, a set piece, or a single defensive lapse—because Serie A loves nothing more than making you sweat your coupon until the 87th minute.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Fiorentina vs Genoa

NG -105

At least one team is not expected to score with odds of -105
7/10

1x2 Tip

1X -345

Fiorentina to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -323

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No -105

At least one team is not expected to score
7/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -208

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.32
xG
1.12
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
3

Average / Match

1.19
Expected Goals
1.17
2.4
Total Goals
2.2
1.2
Goals Scored
1.1
1.2
Goals Against
1.1
48%
Possession
50%
11.8
Total Shots
11.7
3.9
Shots on Goal
3.5
4.9
Shots off Goal
4.4
12.1
Fouls
9.7
4.1
Corners
3.4
1.3
Offsides
0.8
2.5
Yellow Cards
1
407
Total Passes
416

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
5
7
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
0
5
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Fiorentina
12 - 15 - 2
Genoa
Genoa Genoa 09-Nov-25
2:2
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Genoa Genoa 31-Oct-24
0:1
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Genoa Genoa 19-Aug-23
1:4
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Genoa Genoa 18-Sep-21
1:2
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Genoa Genoa 03-Apr-21
1:1
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Genoa Genoa 01-Sep-19
2:1
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Genoa Genoa 22-Sep-10
1:1
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Genoa Genoa 25-Mar-12
2:2
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Genoa Genoa 01-Nov-12
0:1
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Genoa Genoa 01-Sep-13
2:5
Fiorentina Fiorentina

Profile time Recent Matches of Fiorentina

10 MayD Fiorentina Fiorentina 0 Genoa Genoa 0
04 MayL AS Roma AS Roma 4 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0
26 AprD Fiorentina Fiorentina 0 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0
20 AprD Lecce Lecce 1 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1
16 AprW Fiorentina Fiorentina 2 Crystal P. Crystal P. 1
13 AprW Fiorentina Fiorentina 1 Lazio Lazio 0
09 AprL Crystal P. Crystal P. 3 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0
04 AprW Hellas V Hellas V 0 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1
22 MarD Fiorentina Fiorentina 1 Inter Inter 1
19 MarW Rakow Rakow 1 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2

Profile time Recent Matches Of Genoa

10 MayDFiorentina Fiorentina 0 Genoa Genoa 0
02 MayDAtalanta Atalanta 0 Genoa Genoa 0
26 AprLGenoa Genoa 0 Como Como 2
19 AprWPisa Pisa 1 Genoa Genoa 2
12 AprWGenoa Genoa 2 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1
06 AprLJuventus Juventus 2 Genoa Genoa 0
20 MarLGenoa Genoa 0 Udinese Udinese 2
15 MarWHellas V Hellas V 0 Genoa Genoa 2
08 MarWGenoa Genoa 2 AS Roma AS Roma 1
28 FebLInter Inter 2 Genoa Genoa 0

Italy - Serie A Italy - Serie A

Team M G P
1 InterInter3685-3185
2 NapoliNapoli3654-3670
3 JuventusJuventus3659-3068
4 AC MilanAC Milan3650-3267
5 AS RomaAS Roma3655-3167
6 ComoComo3660-2865
7 AtalantaAtalanta3650-3458
8 BolognaBologna3645-4352
9 LazioLazio3639-3751
10 UdineseUdinese3645-4650
11 SassuoloSassuolo3644-4649
12 TorinoTorino3641-5944
13 ParmaParma3627-4542
14 GenoaGenoa3640-4841
15 FiorentinaFiorentina3638-4938
16 CagliariCagliari3636-5137
17 LecceLecce3624-4832
18 CremoneseCremonese3630-5331
19 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3624-5820
20 PisaPisa3625-6618
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