What is the best bet for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Based on AI analysis, the best bet is '1X' at odds of 1.67.

What are the latest odds for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

The latest odds are: Home Win - 3, Draw - 3.7, Away Win - 2.4.

What is the predicted total goals (Under/Over) for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Our AI predicts the best bet for total goals in this match is 'under 3.5' goals. The available odds for this selection are 1.57.

What is the best 1X2 betting tip for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Our AI-powered prediction suggests that the best 1X2 bet for this match is '1'. The available odds for this selection are 3.

What is the predicted final score for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Our AI predicts a final score of 2:1.

What is the predicted halftime score for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Our AI predicts the halftime score will be .

What is the expected ball possession for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Our AI predicts Fiorentina will have 49% possession, while Atalanta will have 51% possession.

How many shots are expected in Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

The total number of shots is expected to be 23, with Fiorentina taking 11 shots and Atalanta taking 12 shots.

How many corners are predicted in Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

The match is expected to have a total of 7 corners, with Fiorentina earning 3 corners and Atalanta earning 4 corners.

What is the predicted number of yellow cards for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

According to our AI prediction, this match is expected to have a total of 3 yellow cards. Fiorentina is projected to receive 2 yellow cards, while Atalanta is expected to receive 1 yellow cards.

What is the squad value of Fiorentina before the match against Atalanta?

The current estimated market value of Fiorentina is €239.45m. This reflects the financial strength of their squad before facing Atalanta.

What is the squad value of Atalanta before the match against Fiorentina?

The current estimated market value of Atalanta is €403.10m. This represents their squad’s financial standing before playing against Fiorentina.

How many goals are expected in the first half of Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Our AI predicts that the first half of Fiorentina vs Atalanta will have a total of 0 goals, based on the predicted halftime score of .

How many total goals are expected in Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

According to our AI prediction, the match between Fiorentina and Atalanta is expected to have a total of 3 goals, based on the predicted full-time score of 2:1.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction

Finished

Italy

Serie A

Fiorentina

€239.45m

22 May14:45

1 : 1

Atalanta

€403.10m

Preview

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction Serie A

Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction: late drama at the Franchi

The Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction for Friday, May 22, 2026 (19:45 GMT) lands on the final matchday of Serie A, and it feels like two different seasons meeting in Florence. Fiorentina arrive with relief and a bit of swagger, Atalanta with Europe already booked and a squad held together by tape and good vibes. If you like tension, tactics, and betting odds that don’t make life easy, you’re in the right place.

Match setting, motivation, and what’s at stake

The game is at Stadio Artemio Franchi, and context matters: this is Round 38. Fiorentina sit 15th after a rough campaign, while Atalanta are 7th and already confirmed for next season’s UEFA Conference League. That difference in pressure can shape the tempo: Fiorentina can play freer now, Atalanta can play looser (sometimes that’s good… sometimes that’s how you concede a silly goal).

Kick-off: 2026-05-22, 19:45 GMT (20:45 CET)
Standings: Fiorentina 15th, Atalanta 7th
Current 1X2 betting odds: Home 2.45, Draw 3.7, Away 2.4

Team news and tactical lean

Paolo Vanoli has been asked to make Fiorentina stable since taking over in November 2025, after a chaotic start under Stefano Pioli. Recently, he has leaned into structure at home, and it shows: Fiorentina have been unbeaten at the Franchi since late February (3 wins, 4 draws), conceding around 0.4 goals per game in that spell. Not glamorous, but very useful when you’re trying not to ruin everyone’s weekend.

Atalanta, coached by Raffaele Palladino, have done their job again by reaching European qualification. The complication is availability. They’re short in defense and midfield, and that can push them toward a more direct, front-foot style—because defending for long periods with a patched-up unit is not anyone’s hobby.

Absences to note

Fiorentina suspensions: Luca Ranieri
Fiorentina injuries: Fabiano Parisi likely out
Atalanta suspensions: Isak Hien
Atalanta injuries: Scamacca, Scalvini, Kolašinac, Éderson, De Ketelaere; Djimsiti managing a hamstring issue

Form notes and head to head

Fiorentina’s confidence got a massive boost on May 17 with a 2-0 win away at Juventus, priced at a huge 9.5. Atalanta showed their own stubborn streak earlier in the spring with a 1-1 draw away to Inter. In the most recent head to head (2025-03-30), Fiorentina won 1-0, despite being big underdogs then too.

NerdyTips picks: numbers, probabilities, and a sensible plan

Now to the part bettors care about: our Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction based on NerdyTips’ model leans slightly toward the home side not losing, which fits the “Fiorentina are hard to break at the Franchi” story, and also respects Atalanta’s away inconsistency (two wins in their last nine away matches across all competitions).

Best tip: 1X (Fiorentina win or draw) at 1.67, confidence 3.8/10
1X2 lean: Fiorentina to win at 2.45, trust 3.0/10
Total goals: Under 3.5 at 1.48, confidence 3.4/10

The match projections also suggest a tight game: possession 49% vs 51%, shots 11 vs 12, and on-target shots 3 vs 3. Corners are forecast at 3-4 (7 total), with a slightly spicy but not wild card line (2 yellows for Fiorentina, 1 for Atalanta). Even with Atalanta’s bigger squad value (€403.10m vs €239.45m), the on-pitch balance looks close.

Our model’s correct score call is 2-1 Fiorentina, with a 0-0 half-time. That lines up well with the Under 3.5 angle: you can still get goals, just not a five-goal circus. If Atalanta rotate or tire late due to injuries, the last 20 minutes could be where Fiorentina make the difference.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction: late drama at the Franchi

Match setting, motivation, and what’s at stake

Kick-off: 2026-05-22, 19:45 GMT (20:45 CET)
Standings: Fiorentina 15th, Atalanta 7th
Current 1X2 betting odds: Home 2.45, Draw 3.7, Away 2.4

Team news and tactical lean

Absences to note

Fiorentina suspensions: Luca Ranieri
Fiorentina injuries: Fabiano Parisi likely out
Atalanta suspensions: Isak Hien
Atalanta injuries: Scamacca, Scalvini, Kolašinac, Éderson, De Ketelaere; Djimsiti managing a hamstring issue

Form notes and head to head

NerdyTips picks: numbers, probabilities, and a sensible plan

Best tip: 1X (Fiorentina win or draw) at 1.67, confidence 3.8/10
1X2 lean: Fiorentina to win at 2.45, trust 3.0/10
Total goals: Under 3.5 at 1.48, confidence 3.4/10

AI Predictions

Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Fiorentina vs Atalanta

1X -149

Fiorentina to win or draw with odds of -149

3/10

1x2 Tip

1 200

Fiorentina is expected to win with odds of 200

2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -175

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match

3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -192

Both teams are expected to score

1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U5.5 -116

Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals

2/10

Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.07

1.26

49%

Ball Possession

51%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Shots Off Goal

Corners

Yellow Cards

Average / Match

0.99

Expected Goals

1.5

1.8

Total Goals

2.5

0.8

Goals Scored

1.2

Goals Against

1.3

47%

Possession

54%

10.7

Total Shots

15.3

3.1

Shots on Goal

4.7

4.9

Shots off Goal

5.9

11.9

Fouls

13.2

3.6

Corners

5.2

1.2

Offsides

2.5

2.78

Yellow Cards

1.75

404

Total Passes

519

Overview Last 10 Matches

Wins

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals

Both Teams Scored

Unexpected Wins

Unexpected Loses

Head to Head

17 - 8 - 10

Atalanta	^30-Nov-25 2:0	Fiorentina
Atalanta	^15-Sep-24 3:2	Fiorentina
Atalanta	^24-Apr-24 4:1	Fiorentina
Atalanta	^02-Jun-24 2:3	Fiorentina
Atalanta	^02-Oct-22 1:0	Fiorentina
Atalanta	^10-Feb-22 2:3	Fiorentina
Atalanta	^11-Sep-21 1:2	Fiorentina
Atalanta	^13-Dec-20 3:0	Fiorentina
Atalanta	^22-Sep-19 2:2	Fiorentina
Atalanta	^29-Apr-12 2:0	Fiorentina

Recent Matches of Fiorentina

22 May	D	Fiorentina	1	Atalanta	1
17 May	W	Juventus	0	Fiorentina	2
10 May	D	Fiorentina	0	Genoa	0
04 May	L	AS Roma	4	Fiorentina	0
26 Apr	D	Fiorentina	0	Sassuolo	0
20 Apr	D	Lecce	1	Fiorentina	1
16 Apr	W	Fiorentina	2	Crystal P.	1
13 Apr	W	Fiorentina	1	Lazio	0
09 Apr	L	Crystal P.	3	Fiorentina	0
04 Apr	W	Hellas V	0	Fiorentina	1

Recent Matches Of Atalanta

22 May	D	Fiorentina	1	Atalanta	1
17 May	L	Atalanta	0	Bologna	1
10 May	W	AC Milan	2	Atalanta	3
02 May	D	Atalanta	0	Genoa	0
27 Apr	L	Cagliari	3	Atalanta	2
22 Apr	D	Atalanta	1	Lazio	1
18 Apr	D	AS Roma	1	Atalanta	1
11 Apr	L	Atalanta	0	Juventus	1
06 Apr	W	Lecce	0	Atalanta	3
22 Mar	W	Atalanta	1	Hellas V	0

Italy - Serie A

	Team	M	G	P
1	Inter	37	86-32	86
2	Napoli	37	57-36	73
3	AC Milan	37	52-33	70
4	AS Roma	37	57-31	70
5	Como	37	61-28	68
6	Juventus	37	59-32	68
7	Atalanta	37	50-35	58
8	Bologna	37	46-43	55
9	Lazio	37	39-39	51
10	Udinese	37	45-47	50
11	Sassuolo	37	46-49	49
12	Torino	37	42-61	44
13	Parma	37	27-46	42
14	Genoa	37	41-50	41
15	Fiorentina	37	40-49	41
16	Cagliari	37	38-52	40
17	Lecce	37	27-50	35
18	Cremonese	37	31-53	34
19	Hellas Verona	37	25-59	21
20	Pisa	37	25-69	18

Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction: late drama at the Franchi

Match setting, motivation, and what’s at stake

Team news and tactical lean

Absences to note

Form notes and head to head

NerdyTips picks: numbers, probabilities, and a sensible plan

Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction: late drama at the Franchi

Match setting, motivation, and what’s at stake

Team news and tactical lean

Absences to note

Form notes and head to head

NerdyTips picks: numbers, probabilities, and a sensible plan

Warning

Best Tip

1x2 Tip

Total Goals

Both Teams To Score

Bet Builder Tip

Correct Score

Stats Predictions

Average / Match

Overview Last 10 Matches

Head to Head

Latest Matches

Recent Matches of Fiorentina

Recent Matches Of Atalanta

Italy - Serie A

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