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Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Damac

€12.55m

23 Apr14:00
2 : 0

Al Okhdood

€13.70m

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Damac vs Al Okhdood Prediction Pro League

Damac vs Al Okhdood prediction: nerves, points, and goals

The Damac vs Al Okhdood prediction for 23 April 2026 (kickoff 19:00 GMT) feels less like a regular league game and more like a survival exam. Round 29 arrives with Damac sitting just above the danger line on 23 points from 28 matches, while Al Okhdood are down in 17th with 16 points. That is why this match matters: a Damac win at Damac Club Stadium could open a huge gap, while Okhdood basically need a result to keep their hopes breathing.

What’s on the line and how it may look on the pitch

Damac have shown a bit of late-season pulse (recent run noted as D-L-W-W), including that eyebrow-raising 1-1 draw with Al-Qadisiyah on 2026-04-09 when they were priced at 6.5. Okhdood’s recent form (L-W-L-L) tells a harsher story, and the numbers behind it are even louder: they have conceded 59 goals in 28 matches, the league’s worst defensive record. If you’re thinking about total goals, that’s a big clue.

  • Damac’s likely approach: use home control, push the fullbacks, and keep pressure with sustained possession.
  • Al Okhdood’s likely approach: stay compact, survive the early phases, then counter when Damac commit numbers forward.
  • Key emotional factor: a “six-pointer” atmosphere can tighten legs early, but it can also create messy chances late.

Manager movement and recent context

Both clubs have dealt with coaching turbulence, and Okhdood’s situation is the most urgent. After changes that included Stjepan Tomas and Marius Șumudică (who left in March 2026), they’ve turned to veteran Tunisian coach Fathi Al-Jabal, still early in his tenure and asked to deliver an escape act. They also come in off a 2-0 loss to Al Nassr, where Cristiano Ronaldo and João Félix got the goals—no shame in that, but it underlines how fragile Okhdood can look when pushed back.

Head to head: Damac have punched first before

The most recent head to head meeting on 2024-09-13 ended Damac 3-1 Al Okhdood, with Damac priced at 1.91 and Okhdood at 4.15. It doesn’t guarantee anything now, but it does suggest Damac can find ways through this defense when the game opens up.

Our AI picks, betting odds, and match stats

The market leans home: betting odds show 1.65 for Damac, 4.1 for the draw, and 5.8 for Al Okhdood. Still, our numbers see a tighter script, which is why the 1X2 call differs from the bookmakers.

  • Best tip: Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.31), confidence 6.5/10.
  • 1X2 lean: X2 (Al Okhdood or Draw) at 2.05, confidence 1.4.
  • Predicted score: 1-1 (HT 0-1).

Why over 1.5? Our projection has Damac controlling about 58% possession, with estimated shots at 15-7 and shots on target at 4-3. That’s not a quiet game. Add an expected 8 corners (5-3) and 2 yellows each, and you get the profile of a tense match that still produces chances.

So, the practical Damac vs Al Okhdood prediction reads like this: Damac may carry the ball and the volume, but Okhdood can nick moments—especially if Damac get impatient. The safest angle is goals: over 1.5 looks well supported by the defensive trend, the shot forecast, and the “must not lose” pressure on both sides.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Damac didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Damac vs Al Okhdood

O1.5 -323

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -323
6/10

1x2 Tip

X2 142

Al Okhdood to win or draw
1/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -323

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -102

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 202

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

1.22
xG
0.7
58%
Ball Possession
42%
15
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
2
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.86
Expected Goals
0.65
2.4
Total Goals
3.4
1.1
Goals Scored
0.9
1.3
Goals Against
2.5
50%
Possession
42%
12.8
Total Shots
7.6
3.7
Shots on Goal
3.1
5.5
Shots off Goal
2.5
11.8
Fouls
9.7
4.9
Corners
3.1
2.3
Offsides
1.7
2.4
Yellow Cards
2.33
371
Total Passes
332

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
2
Over 3.5 Goals
4
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Damac
4 - 1 - 0
Al Okhdood
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 30-Dec-25
0:1
Damac Damac
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 13-Feb-25
0:0
Damac Damac
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 20-Apr-24
1:2
Damac Damac
Damac Damac 13-Sep-24
3:1
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood

Profile time Recent Matches of Damac

15 MayW Damac Damac 3 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 0
10 MayL Al-Ittihad Al-Ittihad 2 Damac Damac 1
02 MayL Damac Damac 0 Khaleej S Khaleej S 2
28 AprL Al-Hilal S Al-Hilal S 1 Damac Damac 0
23 AprW Damac Damac 2 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 0
09 AprD Damac Damac 1 Al-Qadisiyah Al-Qadisiyah 1
04 AprL Al-Ahli J Al-Ahli J 3 Damac Damac 0
12 MarW Al Najma Al Najma 1 Damac Damac 3
05 MarW Damac Damac 3 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0
26 FebD Al Fateh Al Fateh 1 Damac Damac 1

Profile time Recent Matches Of Al Okhdood

12 MayDAl Kholood Al Kholood 0 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 0
03 MayLAl-Ahli J Al-Ahli J 4 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 0
30 AprLAl Okhdood Al Okhdood 1 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 3
23 AprLDamac Damac 2 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 0
11 AprLAl Okhdood Al Okhdood 0 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2
05 AprWAl Okhdood Al Okhdood 1 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 0
14 MarLAl Shabab Al Shabab 2 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 0
07 MarLAl Okhdood Al Okhdood 0 Al Fayha Al Fayha 5
28 FebWAl Najma Al Najma 1 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 3
23 FebLAl Fateh Al Fateh 2 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 1

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team M G P
1 Al-NassrAl-Nassr3387-2783
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi3282-2778
3 Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah3264-2475
4 Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah3378-3374
5 Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC3252-4055
6 Al TaawonAl Taawon3258-4352
7 Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq3350-5449
8 NEOMNEOM3242-4544
9 Al-HazmAl-Hazm3336-5739
10 Al-FayhaAl-Fayha3241-5038
11 Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej3252-5537
12 Al-FatehAl-Fateh3341-5536
13 Al KholoodAl Kholood3239-5832
14 Al ShababAl Shabab3241-5432
15 DamacDamac3228-5126
16 Al RiyadhAl Riyadh3233-6226
17 Al OkhdoodAl Okhdood3224-6817
18 Al NajmaAl Najma3331-7613
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