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Chongqing vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction Super League

Chongqing vs Yunnan: smart prediction and betting angles

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Yunnan Yukun prediction time is here, and it’s a fun one for fans who like their football with a bit of tension. This Chinese Super League game kicks off on 2026-05-20 at 13:00 GMT at the Chongqing Longxing Football Stadium, with both teams flying far higher in the table than most people expected back in March.

Coming into Round 13, Chongqing are sitting 2nd and Yunnan are 4th, which turns this into a six-pointer in the race for AFC Champions League places. In other words: nobody is “just happy to be here”.

Team news, form and the tactical story

Chongqing Tongliang Long have made a habit of being annoyingly hard to beat. Their recent sequence (W-D-D-D) tells the story: not always fireworks, but usually a result. They’ve only lost once in their first 11 league matches (5 wins, 5 draws), and at home they tend to keep games on their terms with a structured, disciplined shape before breaking quickly when space appears.

Key faces for Chongqing start with captain Xiang Yuwang, the 22-year-old who has been praised as part of a new wave of Chinese talent. The attack leans on a balanced group where goals can come from multiple sources, including Landry Dimata (3), Alexandru Cîmpanu (3), and Chen Chunxin (3). At the back, the experienced Michael Ngadeu-Ngadjui adds the kind of calm defending that stops matches from turning into chaos.

Yunnan Yukun, meanwhile, are the opposite of “calm”. They’re built for open games: high-risk, high-reward, and usually entertaining for everyone except their defenders. Their recent form (L-W-D-L-W) swings like a door in the wind, but the upside is clear: they have match-winners in the final third.

  • Oscar Taty Maritu is the headline act with 8 league goals.
  • Alexandru Ioniță has been a creative machine, already credited with 9 assists.
  • Cléber chips in too (3 goals), giving Yunnan more than one threat.

If this turns into a transition game, Yunnan will fancy it. But if Chongqing keep their shape and pick their moments, they can make Yunnan’s aggressive approach look a little… optimistic.

Head to head notes and recent “surprise” results

The most recent head to head meeting (2024-09-15) ended 3-2 to Chongqing, and it’s a useful reminder that these two can produce goals together. It also had an interesting betting story: Yunnan were priced shorter back then, yet Chongqing still edged it.

Both teams have shown they can frustrate bigger names too. Chongqing’s 2-2 away draw at Shanghai Shenhua on 2026-05-09 was a proper eyebrow-raiser given the huge pre-match price on them. Yunnan did something similar at Henan, grabbing a 1-1 away draw despite long odds. These aren’t teams that panic when the script says they should lose.

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Yunnan Yukun prediction: AI picks

Now to the numbers and the Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Yunnan Yukun prediction angles for bettors. The current 1X2 odds are: Home 2.4, Draw 3.45, Away 2.4, which basically screams “coin flip with extra paperwork”.

What the match stats model suggests

  • Possession: Chongqing 51% vs Yunnan 49%
  • Shots: 8 vs 12 (on target: 3 vs 5)
  • Corners: 3 vs 3 (6 total)
  • Yellow cards: 1 vs 1

That profile fits a tight game where Yunnan create slightly more, but Chongqing manage the rhythm. The predicted final score is 1-1, with a first-half lean toward Yunnan (0-1 at the break).

Best betting tips from our AI

  • Over 1.5 goals at 1.22 (confidence 7.1/10)
  • Over 1.5 goals again in the O/U market at 1.22 (confidence 7.2/10)
  • 1X2 lean: Draw (X) at 3.45, but with low trust (2.0)

Putting it together: a draw is the suggested 1X2 call, but the stronger angle is goals. With Yunnan’s firepower and Chongqing’s ability to nick chances on the break, two goals feels like the “most normal” outcome. A 1-1 fits the data, the head to head history, and the way these sides are built. If you’re hunting simple, sensible betting tips, over 1.5 is the cleanest play here.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Chongqing vs Yunnan Yukun

O1.5 -455

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -455
7/10

1x2 Tip

X 245

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -455

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -172

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -147

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

0.85
xG
1.3
51%
Ball Possession
49%
8
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
5
2
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.92
Expected Goals
1.28
2.8
Total Goals
3.7
1.5
Goals Scored
2
1.3
Goals Against
1.7
48%
Possession
50%
8.1
Total Shots
14.2
3.8
Shots on Goal
5.2
2.2
Shots off Goal
5.8
12.7
Fouls
11.7
3.9
Corners
3.9
1.2
Offsides
1.6
2
Yellow Cards
2
417
Total Passes
379

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
9
3
Over 3.5 Goals
4
7
Both Teams Scored
7
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Chongqing Tongliang Long
1 - 3 - 0
Yunnan Yukun
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 27-Apr-24
1:1
Chongqing Chongqing Tongliang Long
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 02-Jul-23
0:0
Chongqing Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing 15-Sep-24
3:2
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing 06-May-23
1:1
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun

Profile time Recent Matches of Chongqing

30 MayL Chongqing Chongqing 2 Beijing Beijing 3
24 MayW Qingdao J Qingdao J 0 Chongqing Chongqing 1
20 MayD Chongqing Chongqing 0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 0
16 MayL Shandong L Shandong L 3 Chongqing Chongqing 1
09 MayD Shanghai Shanghai 2 Chongqing Chongqing 2
05 MayD Chongqing Chongqing 1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1
01 MayL Dalian Z Dalian Z 1 Chongqing Chongqing 0
26 AprD Chongqing Chongqing 1 Qingdao Y Qingdao Y 1
21 AprW SHANGHAI S SHANGHAI S 1 Chongqing Chongqing 2
17 AprW Chongqing Chongqing 2 Sichuan J Sichuan J 0

Profile time Recent Matches Of Yunnan Yukun

31 MayDWuhan T Wuhan T 1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1
24 MayLYunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 2 Qingdao Y Qingdao Y 3
20 MayDChongqing Chongqing 0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 0
16 MayWYunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1 Shanghai Shanghai 0
10 MayWShenyang Shenyang 1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 2
06 MayLYunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1 Hangzhou Hangzhou 2
02 MayDYunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 3 Beijing Beijing 3
26 AprWDalian Z Dalian Z 1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 3
21 AprLChengdu B Chengdu B 2 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1
17 AprLYunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 3

China - Super League China - Super League

Team M G P
1 Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better1432-1334
2 Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang1417-1324
3 Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing1421-2422
4 Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun1426-2320
5 Shandong LunengShandong1425-2418
6 Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth1415-2117
7 Henan JianyeHenan Jianye1416-1615
8 Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban1417-2114
9 Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou1418-2314
10 Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu1417-2314
11 Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai1427-2212
12 SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG1421-1812
13 Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan1423-2112
14 Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon1420-2210
15 Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three1421-297
16 Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda1418-212
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