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Cherno M

€5.88m

9 May09:15
2 : 0

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Cherno M vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction First League

Cherno More Varna vs Botev Plovdiv prediction and tips

Cherno More Varna vs Botev Plovdiv prediction time arrives on Saturday, May 9, 2026, with kick-off set for 14:15 GMT (13:15 UTC) in Bulgaria’s First League (Parva Liga). This one feels like a classic late-season measuring stick: Cherno More trying to squeeze value from structure and discipline, while Botev arrive with the bigger budget and, often, the bigger moments.

Match context, tactics, and what the teams may try

On paper, the squad values tell a story: Cherno More sit around €5.88m, while Botev Plovdiv are closer to €12.09m. That gap does not decide matches by itself, but it often shows in depth, options from the bench, and how long a team can keep its tempo.

Cherno More’s recent identity has been built on staying compact and hard to beat. The 0:0 away draw at Ludogorets on 2026-04-09 is a good example: the pre-match price (around 10.75) said “almost no chance,” yet Cherno More managed the spaces well and kept the game clean. Expect a similar plan here—tight lines, patience, and trying to make set pieces and transitions count.

Botev, meanwhile, have already shown they can land a punch even against the league’s top side. Their 2:1 win over Ludogorets on 2026-02-23 (with big odds around 8.75) was a reminder that they can be direct and brave when the moment is right. In this trip to Varna, Botev may aim to edge possession, push their full-backs higher, and test Cherno More’s block with quicker switches of play.

Head to head notes and market feel

The latest head to head meeting (2025-07-27) went Cherno More’s way, 2:1. Interestingly, that match had bookmakers leaning to Cherno More (about 1.9) and pricing Botev longer (about 4.2). This time the betting odds are much tighter, which fits the sense that Botev have grown into a more reliable away option.

AI betting tips, betting odds, and predicted match flow

For sports betting readers, the 1X2 prices are balanced: Home 2.35, Draw 3.2, Away 3.3. NerdyTips leans away from the home win angle, and the model’s X2 (away win or draw) is rated as the most promising bet with a trust score of 8.5/10 at odds of 1.7.

  • Main bet: X2 (Botev Plovdiv or Draw) – trust 8.5/10, odds 1.7
  • 1X2 lean: Away win (2) – confidence 8.3, odds 3.3
  • Goals market: Under 3.5 goals – confidence 7.0, odds 1.27

The projected match flow supports those tips: Botev are expected to have 52% possession to Cherno More’s 48%, with shots forecast at 11–6 and shots on target at 4–2. That is not domination, but it is control—often enough for an away side to grind out points.

Discipline and set pieces look fairly even: 7 total corners (4–3 to Botev) and 2 yellow cards each. The AI’s correct score call is 1:2, with a 0:1 half-time score. That fits the under 3.5 angle too: a competitive game, but not a wild one.

Overall, this Cherno More Varna vs Botev Plovdiv prediction reads as a tight contest where Botev’s extra attacking output may be the difference—making X2 the steady play for beginner bettors watching the sports betting markets.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Best Tip odd is moving up from 1.5

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Cherno M vs Botev Plovdiv

X2 -143

Botev Plovdiv to win or draw with odds of -143
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 230

Botev Plovdiv is expected to win with odds of 230
8/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -417

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -111

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -112

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

48%
Ball Possession
52%
6
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots Off Goal
6
3
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.9
Total Goals
2.5
0.8
Goals Scored
1.8
1.1
Goals Against
0.7
47%
Possession
56%
6.3
Total Shots
13.1
2.7
Shots on Goal
5.7
3.6
Shots off Goal
7.4
12.1
Fouls
10.1
3.5
Corners
5.6
2.3
Offsides
1.9
2.9
Yellow Cards
2.33

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
6
5
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
3
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Cherno More Varna
10 - 7 - 6
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 29-Nov-25
2:1
Cherno M Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 25-Oct-24
1:0
Cherno M Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 31-Mar-24
0:0
Cherno M Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 19-Aug-22
3:4
Cherno M Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 16-Apr-22
1:0
Cherno M Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 20-Nov-21
0:2
Cherno M Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 17-May-21
1:1
Cherno M Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 07-Nov-20
0:0
Cherno M Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 04-Apr-19
2:2
Cherno M Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 29-Feb-20
1:1
Cherno M Cherno More Varna

Profile time Recent Matches of Cherno M

12 MayW Cherno M Cherno M 2 Lokomotiv P Lokomotiv P 0
09 MayW Cherno M Cherno M 2 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0
03 MayD Arda K Arda K 0 Cherno M Cherno M 0
26 AprW Lokomotiv P Lokomotiv P 0 Cherno M Cherno M 1
15 AprL Cherno M Cherno M 0 CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 4
09 AprD Ludogorets Ludogorets 0 Cherno M Cherno M 0
05 AprL Cherno M Cherno M 1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 3
21 MarL Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2 Cherno More Cherno More 1
15 MarW Cherno More Cherno More 1 Montana Montana 0
07 MarW Septemvri Septemvri 0 Cherno More Cherno More 3

Profile time Recent Matches Of Botev Plovdiv

12 MayLBotev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1 Arda K Arda K 2
09 MayLCherno M Cherno M 2 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0
03 MayLBotev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0 Lokomotiv P Lokomotiv P 2
26 AprWArda K Arda K 0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2
14 AprWDobrudzha Dobrudzha 0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3
08 AprDBotev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1 Lokomotiv P Lokomotiv P 1
04 AprWBotev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 5 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 0
20 MarWSlavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1
14 MarLBotev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 3
08 MarDCSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0

Bulgaria - First League Bulgaria - First League

Team M G P
1 Cherno More VarnaCherno More3438-2654
2 Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv3434-3652
3 Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali3435-3248
4 Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv3443-4343
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