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Charlton

€30.45m

22 Apr14:45
1 : 2

Ipswich

€198.65m

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Charlton vs Ipswich Prediction Championship

Charlton vs Ipswich prediction: value angles at The Valley

Charlton vs Ipswich prediction time comes with the spring evening lights on at The Valley, as this EFL Championship Round 44 fixture lands on Wednesday, 22 April 2026 (19:45 GMT). The table pressure is real at both ends, and it’s hard not to feel the tension in the details: Ipswich sit 2nd under Kieran McKenna, while Charlton’s points hunt has a different kind of urgency.

Charlton’s task is familiar: keep their shape, stay in the game, and make their moments count. When the Addicks have enjoyed their best nights, it has often come from discipline without the ball and a willingness to play the match, not the occasion. That’s why their famous recent smash-and-grab at Middlesbrough (0:1 on 2026-03-11, priced at 10.5) still feels like a useful reference point—Charlton can survive long spells without the ball if their distances are right and their transitions are sharp.

Ipswich arrive with the look of a team that expects to control territory. McKenna’s sides tend to be brave in possession, patient through the thirds, and aggressive about winning the ball back. And they’ve shown they can stand up to heavy pressure away from home too—like the 2:2 at Everton on 2025-05-03, when they were big underdogs (6.54) yet still found a way to leave with something.

Match context, tactics, and what to watch

This one may hinge on who dictates tempo. Charlton will likely try to turn the match into a series of manageable phases: clear lines, fewer risks, and set-piece moments. Ipswich will aim for steady pressure, wide overloads, and enough shots to make the dam crack.

  • Game state matters: an early Ipswich goal would suit their control style and force Charlton to open up.
  • Head to head volatility: the last head to head (2022-10-29) ended 4:4—fun, chaotic, and not typical of promotion-season caution.
  • Squad value gap: Charlton (€30.45m) versus Ipswich (€198.65m) hints at depth, options, and late-game quality.

NerdyTips betting tips and model-based prediction

Now for the numbers behind our Charlton vs Ipswich Prediction on NerdyTips. The market prices Ipswich as clear favourites: Home win 6.4, Draw 4.15, Away win 1.6. That lines up with the possession forecast (38% vs 62%) and shot volume (8 vs 14), with Ipswich also projected to win the corner count (3 vs 6).

Still, our model doesn’t scream “away romp.” It leans toward a tighter story: a 1:1 full-time score, with Ipswich edging the first half 0:1. That blend—Ipswich control without runaway finishing—helps explain why the best-rated angle is goals rather than a straight result.

  • Best tip: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.35), trust 4.6/10
  • 1X2 lean: 1X (Charlton or Draw) at 2.2, trust 2.0/10
  • Predicted stats: on-target 2 vs 4, total corners 9, yellows 2 vs 1

That under 3.5 call fits the forecasted shot quality: plenty of Ipswich attempts, but not an overload of clear chances. The 1X suggestion is lower confidence, yet it matches the idea of Ipswich dominance meeting a stubborn home defensive night—especially with Charlton’s recent habit of springing the odd surprise.

If you’re shopping for simple, sensible betting tips, the model says: expect Ipswich to have the ball, but don’t expect fireworks. The Charlton vs Ipswich prediction points to control, caution, and a match that stays under the goal line more often than not.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Charlton vs Ipswich

U3.5 -286

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -286
4/10

1x2 Tip

1X 147

Charlton to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -286

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -103

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 188

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

1.04
xG
1.63
38%
Ball Possession
62%
8
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Goal
4
2
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.17
Expected Goals
1.62
1.8
Total Goals
2.7
0.8
Goals Scored
1.7
1
Goals Against
1
42%
Possession
56%
10.3
Total Shots
14.2
2.9
Shots on Goal
4.9
3.9
Shots off Goal
4.8
11.2
Fouls
11.1
4.1
Corners
6.2
2.3
Offsides
2.2
2.1
Yellow Cards
2.2
325
Total Passes
443

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
5
6
Over 1.5 Goals
9
2
Over 2.5 Goals
4
0
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Charlton
4 - 4 - 7
Ipswich
Charlton Charlton 29-Oct-22
4:4
Ipswich Ipswich
Charlton Charlton 07-Dec-21
2:0
Ipswich Ipswich
Charlton Charlton 17-Apr-21
0:0
Ipswich Ipswich
Charlton Charlton 26-Dec-12
1:2
Ipswich Ipswich
Charlton Charlton 30-Nov-13
0:1
Ipswich Ipswich
Charlton Charlton 29-Nov-14
0:1
Ipswich Ipswich
Charlton Charlton 28-Nov-15
0:3
Ipswich Ipswich
Ipswich Ipswich 21-Oct-25
0:3
Charlton Charlton
Ipswich Ipswich 15-Apr-23
6:0
Charlton Charlton
Ipswich Ipswich 30-Apr-22
4:0
Charlton Charlton

Profile time Recent Matches of Charlton

02 MayL Swansea Swansea 3 Charlton Charlton 1
25 AprW Charlton Charlton 2 Hull City Hull City 1
22 AprL Charlton Charlton 1 Ipswich Ipswich 2
18 AprD Sheffield W Sheffield W 1 Charlton Charlton 1
11 AprL Charlton Charlton 1 Preston Preston 2
06 AprD Watford Watford 1 Charlton Charlton 1
03 AprL Charlton Charlton 1 Bristol City Bristol City 2
21 MarL Charlton Charlton 0 Norwich Norwich 1
14 MarD Oxford Utd Oxford Utd 1 Charlton Charlton 1
11 MarW Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0 Charlton Charlton 1

Profile time Recent Matches Of Ipswich

02 MayWIpswich Ipswich 3 QPR QPR 0
28 AprDSouthampton Southampton 2 Ipswich Ipswich 2
25 AprDWest Brom West Brom 0 Ipswich Ipswich 0
22 AprWCharlton Charlton 1 Ipswich Ipswich 2
19 AprDIpswich Ipswich 2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2
14 AprLPortsmouth Portsmouth 2 Ipswich Ipswich 0
11 AprWNorwich Norwich 0 Ipswich Ipswich 2
06 AprWIpswich Ipswich 2 Birmingham Birmingham 1
21 MarDIpswich Ipswich 1 Millwall Millwall 1
14 MarWSheffield Wed Sheffield Wed 0 Ipswich Ipswich 2

England - Championship England - Championship

Team M G P
1 CoventryCoventry4697-4595
2 IpswichIpswich4680-4784
3 MillwallMillwall4664-4983
4 SouthamptonSouthampton4682-5680
5 MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4672-4780
6 Hull CityHull City4670-6673
7 WrexhamWrexham4669-6571
8 DerbyDerby4667-5969
9 NorwichNorwich4663-5665
10 BirminghamBirmingham4657-5664
11 SwanseaSwansea4657-5964
12 Bristol CityBristol City4659-5962
13 Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd4666-6660
14 PrestonPreston4655-6260
15 QPRQPR4661-7358
16 WatfordWatford4653-6557
17 Stoke CityStoke City4651-5655
18 PortsmouthPortsmouth4649-6455
19 CharltonCharlton4644-5853
20 BlackburnBlackburn4642-5652
21 West BromWest Brom4648-5851
22 Oxford UnitedOxford United4645-5947
23 LeicesterLeicester4658-6846
24 Sheffield WednesdaySheffield4629-890
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