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Charlton

€30.45m

25 Apr07:30
2 : 1

Hull City

€81.75m

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Charlton vs Hull City Prediction Championship

Charlton vs Hull City prediction: tension, tactics and tips

The Charlton vs Hull City prediction for Saturday, 2026-04-25 (12:30 GMT) comes with proper end-of-season nerves: Round 45, two games left, and both clubs still doing math. Charlton need points to finish the job of staying up, while Hull arrive at The Valley knowing a play-off push is possible… but only if they stop leaving points on the table.

What’s at stake at The Valley

Hull sit 7th and are chasing the top six, but their timing has been awful: five games without a win has turned “we control our fate” into “pass the calculator.” They’re level with the play-off line on goal difference behind Wrexham, so even victory might not be enough. Charlton, down in 20th, are trying to secure safety and will feel that home form has to improve before the season runs out.

Form notes, momentum, and a little belief

Hull’s latest was a 2-2 draw with Leicester on April 21, with Liam Millar and Oli McBurnie scoring in a game that also confirmed Leicester’s relegation. Charlton lost 1-2 at home to Ipswich on April 22, but they’ve shown stubbornness with 1-1 draws against Sheffield Wednesday and Watford.

And both sides have recent “no one saw that coming” proof. Charlton’s 0-1 win at Middlesbrough (2026-03-11) landed at odds of 10.5. Hull’s 1-2 away win at Southampton (2026-01-17) came at 5.8. In short: neither team is scared of a supposedly bigger stage.

Team news that shapes the tactics

Hull coach Sergej Jakirović (shortlisted for Championship Manager of the Season) has injuries to juggle. Amir Hadziahmetovic is out for the season, while Mo Belloumi is a major doubt after hamstring tightness. Ryan Giles is back and completed 90 minutes last time, and Eliot Matazo has returned to the squad after a long ACL layoff. There are also issues around Cody Drameh, Lewie Coyle, and Regan Slater.

Charlton welcome back defender Collins Sichenje, and Nathan Jones has rotated heavily—eight changes versus Ipswich—trying to keep legs fresh for the final sprint. Conor Coady (head), Matty Godden, and Harvey Knibbs remain concerns.

Likely game plan

  • Charlton: organised block, quick breaks, and more emphasis on protecting the middle.
  • Hull: patient possession, use of wide areas (especially if Giles starts), and steady pressure rather than chaos.

Betting odds and NerdyTips angle

The market expects a tight one: home win 3.2, draw 3.25, away win 2.42. Hull’s squad value (€81.75m) dwarfs Charlton’s (€30.45m), but this league loves ignoring price tags.

NerdyTips AI picks: totals, 1X2, and key stats

Our Charlton vs Hull City Prediction leans slightly toward the visitors, with the AI calling a 1:2 away win (HT 0:1). The possession forecast is 47% Charlton to 53% Hull, with shots projected at 11-13 and on-target shots a modest 3-3—more grit than glamour.

  • Top tip: Away team to score (AS) at 1.26 odds, confidence 6.7/10.
  • 1X2 prediction: Away win (2) at 2.42 odds, confidence 2.42/10.
  • Under 3.5 total goals at 1.35 odds, trust 5.1/10.

Those tips connect neatly: equal on-target numbers and just 8 corners (4-4) point to a controlled match, not a wild shootout. Even discipline looks contained (1 yellow Charlton, 2 Hull). For head to head bettors and anyone watching total goals markets, “under 3.5” fits a game where Hull may edge it without running away with it.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Charlton vs Hull City

AS -385

Hull City is expected to score at least 1 goal with odds of -385
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 142

Hull City is expected to win with odds of 142
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -286

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -141

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -159

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

1.28
xG
1.22
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.17
Expected Goals
1.21
1.9
Total Goals
2.6
0.8
Goals Scored
1.1
1.1
Goals Against
1.5
42%
Possession
45%
10.6
Total Shots
12.3
3
Shots on Goal
3.6
4
Shots off Goal
4.5
11.5
Fouls
11
4.2
Corners
4
2.2
Offsides
1.8
2
Yellow Cards
3.1
321
Total Passes
348

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
2
6
Over 1.5 Goals
8
3
Over 2.5 Goals
6
0
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
7
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Charlton
3 - 3 - 3
Hull City
Charlton Charlton 09-May-21
1:0
Hull City Hull City
Charlton Charlton 25-Aug-12
0:0
Hull City Hull City
Charlton Charlton 22-Aug-15
2:1
Hull City Hull City
Charlton Charlton 13-Dec-19
2:2
Hull City Hull City
Hull City Hull City 25-Oct-25
1:1
Charlton Charlton
Hull City Hull City 02-Jan-21
2:0
Charlton Charlton
Hull City Hull City 16-Feb-13
1:0
Charlton Charlton
Hull City Hull City 16-Jan-16
6:0
Charlton Charlton
Hull City Hull City 20-Jun-20
0:1
Charlton Charlton

Profile time Recent Matches of Charlton

02 MayL Swansea Swansea 3 Charlton Charlton 1
25 AprW Charlton Charlton 2 Hull City Hull City 1
22 AprL Charlton Charlton 1 Ipswich Ipswich 2
18 AprD Sheffield W Sheffield W 1 Charlton Charlton 1
11 AprL Charlton Charlton 1 Preston Preston 2
06 AprD Watford Watford 1 Charlton Charlton 1
03 AprL Charlton Charlton 1 Bristol City Bristol City 2
21 MarL Charlton Charlton 0 Norwich Norwich 1
14 MarD Oxford Utd Oxford Utd 1 Charlton Charlton 1
11 MarW Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0 Charlton Charlton 1

Profile time Recent Matches Of Hull City

11 MayWMillwall Millwall 0 Hull City Hull City 2
08 MayDHull City Hull City 0 Millwall Millwall 0
02 MayWHull City Hull City 2 Norwich Norwich 1
25 AprLCharlton Charlton 2 Hull City Hull City 1
21 AprDLeicester Leicester 2 Hull City Hull City 2
18 AprDHull City Hull City 1 Birmingham Birmingham 1
11 AprLSheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 2 Hull City Hull City 1
06 AprDHull City Hull City 0 Coventry Coventry 0
03 AprDOxford U Oxford U 1 Hull City Hull City 1
21 MarWHull Hull 3 Sheffield Wed Sheffield Wed 1

England - Championship England - Championship

Team M G P
1 CoventryCoventry4697-4595
2 IpswichIpswich4680-4784
3 MillwallMillwall4664-4983
4 SouthamptonSouthampton4682-5680
5 MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4672-4780
6 Hull CityHull City4670-6673
7 WrexhamWrexham4669-6571
8 DerbyDerby4667-5969
9 NorwichNorwich4663-5665
10 BirminghamBirmingham4657-5664
11 SwanseaSwansea4657-5964
12 Bristol CityBristol City4659-5962
13 Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd4666-6660
14 PrestonPreston4655-6260
15 QPRQPR4661-7358
16 WatfordWatford4653-6557
17 Stoke CityStoke City4651-5655
18 PortsmouthPortsmouth4649-6455
19 CharltonCharlton4644-5853
20 BlackburnBlackburn4642-5652
21 West BromWest Brom4648-5851
22 Oxford UnitedOxford United4645-5947
23 LeicesterLeicester4658-6846
24 Sheffield WednesdaySheffield4629-890
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