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Cesena

€29.10m

6 Apr06:30
1 : 1

Sudtirol

€19.25m

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Cesena vs Sudtirol Prediction Serie B

Cesena vs Sudtirol prediction: Pasquetta points and goals

Our Cesena vs Sudtirol prediction for Monday, 2026-04-06 (kick-off 11:30 GMT) comes with a very “Serie B” feel: tight margins, a loud Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi crowd on Pasquetta (Easter Monday), and two teams who know how to make you sweat if you’re into sports betting. Cesena are trying to protect 8th place (the last playoff spot), while Sudtirol sit around 11th and have made a habit of being stubborn away from home.

Team news, benches, and the mood around the game

The biggest talking point is on the Cesena bench. After a rough seven-game winless run that threatened their playoff push, Michele Mignani was removed in mid-March and the club’s American ownership went for a headline appointment: Ashley Cole. Yes, that Ashley Cole. It’s his first job as a first-team manager after assistant roles at Chelsea, Everton, Birmingham, and with England’s setup, so expect plenty of attention on every substitution and every wave to the crowd.

Sudtirol bring their own twist: coach Fabrizio Castori is suspended after protesting in a previous match, so assistant Bocchini will run the technical area. If you like “touchline drama” in your weekend accumulator, this one has potential.

Injuries, suspensions, and likely shapes

Tactically, both sides are expected to line up 3.55-2, which often means crowded midfields and wing-backs deciding the rhythm. Cesena’s squad value (€29.10m) is higher than Sudtirol’s (€19.25m), but Serie B doesn’t always care about price tags.

  • Cesena availability: Magni is out. Castagnetti (ankle) is returning to full training and should be available. Frabotta and Castrovilli have muscle problems, with late checks for Frabotta; Mangraviti is also managing a muscle issue.
  • Sudtirol availability: Cragno is out for the season (Achilles). Odogwu is out until later in April, Coulibaly is out, and Pecorino is suspended. Kofler, Molina, and Davi have minor fatigue concerns.

Probable setups lean familiar: Jonathan Klinsmann in goal for Cesena, with Shpendi leading the line and support options like Ciervo, Vrioni, and local talent Tommaso Berti (fresh from Italy youth involvement). Sudtirol should go with Adamonis in goal, Zedadka favored on the right, and Merkaj partnering Tonin up front.

Head to head notes and recent “anything can happen” proof

The latest head to head meeting (2024-11-03) ended 1-0 to Cesena, a reminder that this matchup can be decided by one moment. And both teams have shown they can surprise: Cesena won away at Verona 1-2 back on 2024-08-10 despite big betting odds (around 5.5), while Sudtirol grabbed a 1-1 draw at Monza on 2.28-12-08 with pre-match win odds near 6.5. In other words, don’t get too comfortable.

Cesena vs Sudtirol prediction: AI picks, betting odds, tips

Now to the numbers for sports betting. The 1x2 betting odds are: Home 2.28, Draw 3.35, Away 3.55. Our AI leans to Cesena in the 1x2 market: pick 1 (home win) with confidence 5.6 and model odds 2.28. That’s not a “mortgage the house” signal, but it matches the idea of Cesena having slightly more control, especially at home.

  • Best tip (NerdyTips): Over 1.5 goals, trust 7.5/10, odds 1.33.
  • AI under/over: Over 1.5 goals, trust 7.5, odds 1.33.

Why over 1.5? The match projections point that way: 55% vs 45% possession, shots around 15-11, and shots on goal about 5-2 for Cesena. That’s enough volume to expect at least two goals even if the first half is cagey. Corners are projected at 4-3 (7 total), and cards at 2-2, suggesting a competitive but not chaotic game.

Correct score lean

The AI predicted final score is 2:1, with a 0:0 halftime. Translation: patience early, then the game opens up once legs tire and benches get involved. For a clean, simple Cesena vs Sudtirol prediction angle, over 1.5 goals fits both the model and the match script, while Cesena on the 1x2 is the bolder play if you want to chase the bigger price.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Cesena didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Cesena vs Sudtirol

O1.5 -303

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 128

Cesena is expected to win with odds of 128
5/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -303

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -128

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -139

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.81
xG
1.13
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.55
Expected Goals
1.14
3.2
Total Goals
2.2
1.2
Goals Scored
1
2
Goals Against
1.2
47%
Possession
47%
13.7
Total Shots
12
4.3
Shots on Goal
3.2
5.8
Shots off Goal
5.2
13.9
Fouls
16.5
3.9
Corners
4.3
2.4
Offsides
1.7
2.6
Yellow Cards
2.5
414
Total Passes
318

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
2
9
Over 1.5 Goals
6
7
Over 2.5 Goals
5
6
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Cesena
2 - 4 - 1
Sudtirol
Sudtirol Sudtirol 25-Oct-25
0:1
Cesena Cesena
Sudtirol Sudtirol 05-Apr-25
1:1
Cesena Cesena
Sudtirol Sudtirol 25-Apr-21
1:1
Cesena Cesena
Cesena Cesena 06-Apr-26
1:1
Sudtirol Sudtirol
Cesena Cesena 03-Nov-24
1:0
Sudtirol Sudtirol
Cesena Cesena 09-Jan-21
0:0
Sudtirol Sudtirol

Profile time Recent Matches of Cesena

08 MayL Cesena Cesena 3 Padova Padova 4
01 MayD Carrarese Carrarese 0 Cesena Cesena 0
25 AprD Cesena Cesena 0 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0
18 AprL Palermo Palermo 2 Cesena Cesena 0
11 AprL Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 2 Cesena Cesena 0
06 AprD Cesena Cesena 1 Sudtirol Sudtirol 1
21 MarW Cesena Cesena 3 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1
17 MarL Mantova Mantova 3 Cesena Cesena 0
14 MarD Cesena Cesena 2 Frosinone Frosinone 2
07 MarD Modena Modena 0 Cesena Cesena 0

Profile time Recent Matches Of Sudtirol

15 MayDBari Bari 0 Sudtirol Sudtirol 0
08 MayDSudtirol Sudtirol 1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1
01 MayLSampdoria Sampdoria 1 Sudtirol Sudtirol 0
25 AprLSudtirol Sudtirol 0 Mantova Mantova 3
18 AprLSpezia Spezia 6 Sudtirol Sudtirol 1
11 AprDSudtirol Sudtirol 1 Modena Modena 1
06 AprDCesena Cesena 1 Sudtirol Sudtirol 1
22 MarLSudtirol Sudtirol 1 Frosinone Frosinone 3
18 MarLAvellino Avellino 3 Sudtirol Sudtirol 2
15 MarDSudtirol Sudtirol 0 Pescara Pescara 0

Italy - Serie B Italy - Serie B

Team M G P
1 VeneziaVenezia3877-3182
2 FrosinoneFrosinone3876-3481
3 MonzaMonza3861-3276
4 PalermoPalermo3861-3372
5 CatanzaroCatanzaro3862-5159
6 ModenaModena3849-3655
7 Juve StabiaJuve Stabia3844-4551
8 AvellinoAvellino3843-5549
9 MantovaMantova3845-5746
10 PadovaPadova3839-4946
11 CesenaCesena3845-5646
12 CarrareseCarrarese3847-5244
13 SampdoriaSampdoria3835-4844
14 Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella3836-5142
15 EmpoliEmpoli3847-5441
16 SudtirolSudtirol3838-4841
17 BariBari3838-6040
18 ReggianaReggiana3836-5637
19 SpeziaSpezia3843-5935
20 PescaraPescara3851-6635
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