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Bodo/Glimt vs Molde prediction: goals, angles, and value
The Bodo/Glimt vs Molde prediction for Monday, 2026-05-04 (18:00 GMT) pretty much writes itself: Aspmyra under the lights, two ambitious attacks, and a fixture that rarely stays quiet for long. It’s Eliteserien Round 7, and if you like pace, pressing, and shots, this one should feel like a buffet.
Match setting, form, and the chessboard
Bodø/Glimt come in as the league’s modern heavy hitters, and they’ve responded well after that ugly 5-0 loss to Viking earlier in the spring. Since then, the home rhythm has returned: wins like 3-0 vs Aalesund, 2-1 vs KFUM Oslo, and 2-0 vs Lillestrøm show a team that can win with both flair and control. They’ve hit 8 goals in their last five league games, and the big theme is simple: win the ball high, keep it, and keep opponents running.
Molde arrive with their own firepower. A 5-1 win over Vålerenga on April 26, plus a 4-1 against HamKam and a 1-1 draw with Start, tells you the attack is humming. They’ve scored 11 in their last five, but the downside is clear: no clean sheet in that run. Against a Glimt side that turns pressure into chances, that’s like bringing an umbrella made of paper to Bodø.
Head to head: tight history, Glimt’s recent edge
This head to head is famously close overall (Molde 13 wins, Glimt 12, and 6 draws), but the recent story leans yellow: Bodø/Glimt are unbeaten in the last six meetings (3W, 3D). They also beat Molde 2-1 away in the NM Cup Round of 16 on 2026-03-05, and the last league meeting we saw ended 4-1 to Glimt on 2025-10-26. Molde know what’s coming; stopping it is the tricky part.
- Venue: Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
- Team news note: Bodø/Glimt are expected to miss midfielder Ulrik Saltnes, which may shift the balance of their midfield rotations.
- Confidence booster: Glimt’s 1:2 away win at Inter on 2026-02-24 (odds 13.0) still hangs in the air as proof they don’t scare easily.
Our Bodo/Glimt vs Molde prediction and betting tips
Now to the numbers and the market. The bookmakers price a home win at 1.4, draw 5.75, away win 7.5. Our Bodo/Glimt vs Molde prediction agrees with that direction, and the supporting stats paint a very “Glimt at home” picture.
- 1X2 pick: Home win (1) at 1.4
- Model confidence: 8.8/10 (high trust)
- Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals at 1.33 (confidence 6.2/10)
Why the strong home lean? The expected game script is control and volume: 64% possession for Bodø/Glimt, around 16 shots to 6, with 6 on target to Molde’s 2. Add a corners forecast of 8-3 (11 total), and you can imagine Molde defending waves and clearing their lines a lot. The squad value gap (€82.55m vs €26.95m) also supports the idea that Glimt can bring more match-winners off the bench if the game gets messy.
- Main betting tip: Bodø/Glimt to win (fits the odds and the match flow)
- Goals angle: Over 2.5 is reasonable, mainly because Molde score often but concede often
- Correct score lean: 3:0, with 1:0 at half-time (Glimt start fast, Molde chase)
One last small detail for card-watchers: the projection is calm (0 home yellows, 1 away). If that holds, it favors Glimt’s tempo game—less stopping, more running, and more chances. In short: for this Bodo/Glimt vs Molde prediction, the simplest path is usually the best one—back the home win, and expect the net to move.
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Best Tip
The best betting football prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Molde1 -250
Bodo/Glimt is expected to win with odds of -2501x2 Tip
1 -250
Bodo/Glimt is expected to win with odds of -250Total Goals
Over 2.5 -345
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchBoth Teams To Score
No 152
At least one team is not expected to scoreBet Builder Tip
1X&O2.5 -204
Home win/draw and over 2.5 goalsCorrect Score
3:0
Stats Predictions
Average / Match
Overview Last 10 Matches
Head to Head
|
|
9
-
5
-
10
|
|
Latest Matches
 Molde |
05-Mar-26
1:2
| Bodo/Glimt  |
| Molde |
22-Mar-25
1:2
| Bodo/Glimt |
| Molde |
21-Apr-25
2:2
| Bodo/Glimt |
| Molde |
03-Nov-24
3:3
| Bodo/Glimt |
| Molde |
08-Oct-23
1:3
| Bodo/Glimt |
| Molde |
02-Apr-23
2:3
| Bodo/Glimt |
| Molde |
29-May-22
3:1
| Bodo/Glimt |
| Molde |
02-May-21
1:1
| Bodo/Glimt |
| Molde |
27-Oct-21
0:2
| Bodo/Glimt |
Recent Matches of Bodo/Glimt
| 09 May | D |
Bodo/Glimt
| 3 |
Brann
| 3 |
| 04 May | L |
Bodo/Glimt
| 0 |
Molde
| 1 |
| 30 Apr | W |
Bodo/Glimt
| 5 |
Start
| 0 |
| 26 Apr | W |
Lillestrom
| 0 |
Bodo/Glimt
| 2 |
| 22 Apr | W |
Bodo/Glimt
| 2 |
KFUM Oslo
| 1 |
| 18 Apr | W |
Bodo/Glimt
| 3 |
Aalesund
| 0 |
| 15 Apr | D |
Sarpsborg
| 1 |
Bodo/Glimt
| 1 |
| 11 Apr | L |
Viking
| 5 |
Bodo/Glimt
| 0 |
| 06 Apr | W |
Kristiansund
| 0 |
Bodo/Glimt
| 3 |
| 22 Mar | W |
Bodo/Glimt
| 4 |
Lillestrom
| 0 |
Recent Matches Of Molde
| 10 May | L |  Tromso |
2 | Molde |
0 |
| 04 May | W | Bodo/Glimt |
0 | Molde |
1 |
| 26 Apr | W | Molde |
5 |  Valerenga |
1 |
| 19 Apr | D |  Start |
1 | Molde |
1 |
| 12 Apr | W | Molde |
4 |  Ham-Kam |
1 |
| 06 Apr | L | Molde |
0 |  Lillestrom |
1 |
| 21 Mar | L |  Viking |
4 | Molde |
1 |
| 14 Mar | W | Molde |
2 |  Rosenborg |
0 |
| 05 Mar | L | Molde |
1 | Bodo/Glimt |
2 |
| 28 Feb | D | Molde |
0 |  Hodd |
0 |
Norway - Eliteserien
| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Tromso | 10 | 17-8 | 23 |
| 2 |
Viking | 8 | 21-6 | 21 |
| 3 |
Lillestrom | 8 | 13-6 | 16 |
| 4 |
Bodo/Glimt | 7 | 14-7 | 13 |
| 5 |
Molde | 8 | 14-10 | 13 |
| 6 |
 Ham-Kam | 7 | 12-12 | 13 |
| 7 |
 Sandefjord | 8 | 7-7 | 13 |
| 8 |
Brann | 8 | 19-12 | 10 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 | 8 | 7-11 | 8 |
| 10 |
Kristiansund | 7 | 7-11 | 8 |
| 11 |
 Valerenga | 8 | 7-12 | 8 |
| 12 |
KFUM Oslo | 8 | 9-15 | 8 |
| 13 |
 Rosenborg | 8 | 5-11 | 8 |
| 14 |
 Fredrikstad | 8 | 10-17 | 7 |
| 15 |
Start | 8 | 6-16 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aalesund | 7 | 7-14 | 3 |
