What is the best bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Based on AI analysis, the best bet is '1X' at odds of 1.5.

What are the latest odds for AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The latest odds are: Home Win - 2.67, Draw - 3.7, Away Win - 3.3.

What is the predicted total goals (Under/Over) for AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our AI predicts the best bet for total goals in this match is 'under 3.5' goals. The available odds for this selection are 1.46.

What is the best 1X2 betting tip for AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our AI-powered prediction suggests that the best 1X2 bet for this match is '1'. The available odds for this selection are 2.67.

What is the predicted final score for AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our AI predicts a final score of 2:1.

What is the predicted halftime score for AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our AI predicts the halftime score will be .

What is the expected ball possession for AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our AI predicts AZ Alkmaar will have 57% possession, while Shakhtar Donetsk will have 43% possession.

How many shots are expected in AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The total number of shots is expected to be 24, with AZ Alkmaar taking 16 shots and Shakhtar Donetsk taking 8 shots.

How many corners are predicted in AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The match is expected to have a total of 8 corners, with AZ Alkmaar earning 6 corners and Shakhtar Donetsk earning 2 corners.

What is the predicted number of yellow cards for AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

According to our AI prediction, this match is expected to have a total of 2 yellow cards. AZ Alkmaar is projected to receive 0 yellow cards, while Shakhtar Donetsk is expected to receive 2 yellow cards.

What is the squad value of AZ Alkmaar before the match against Shakhtar Donetsk?

The current estimated market value of AZ Alkmaar is €165.87m. This reflects the financial strength of their squad before facing Shakhtar Donetsk.

What is the squad value of Shakhtar Donetsk before the match against AZ Alkmaar?

The current estimated market value of Shakhtar Donetsk is €168.40m. This represents their squad’s financial standing before playing against AZ Alkmaar.

How many goals are expected in the first half of AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our AI predicts that the first half of AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk will have a total of 0 goals, based on the predicted halftime score of .

How many total goals are expected in AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

According to our AI prediction, the match between AZ Alkmaar and Shakhtar Donetsk is expected to have a total of 3 goals, based on the predicted full-time score of 2:1.

AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction

Finished

World

UEFA Europa Conference

AZ Alkmaar

€165.87m

16 Apr12:45

2 : 2

Shakhtar

€168.40m

Preview

AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Prediction UEFA Europa Conference League

AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction: can AZ spark a comeback?

The AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction starts with a simple truth: AZ have dug themselves a very deep European hole. This UEFA Europa Conference League quarter-final second leg kicks off at 17:45 GMT on 2026-04-16, and the Dutch side return to AFAS Stadion needing to turn a bad night into a famous one.

In the first leg on April 9 in Krakow (Shakhtar’s chosen home base), Shakhtar did the damage late. Pedrinho opened the scoring in the 70th minute with a long-range hit, then substitute Alisson Santana added a quick brace (81’, 83’) for a 3-0 win. “Tight at the break, brutal at the end” is the short version, and now AZ need a miracle that comes with a lot of running.

Team news, form, and the little details that matter

AZ are still adjusting to life under Lee-Roy Echteld, who took charge in January 2026. Domestically, they sit sixth in the Eredivisie, and their recent 2-0 win over Fortuna Sittard (goals by Mexx Meerdink and Sven Mijnans) showed they can be efficient. In Europe, they were ruthless in the Round of 16, sweeping Sparta Prague aside 6-1 on aggregate. So yes, they can score in bunches… just preferably not after conceding three.

Shakhtar, guided by Arda Turan, arrive with the calm of a team that has made a habit of not losing. They’re level at the top in Ukraine and have dropped just one of their last 17 across all competitions. They had to work for it against Lech Poznan (4-3 on aggregate), but that’s also part of their story: they can suffer and still progress.

Shakhtar injuries: Isaque is highly unlikely after a nasty first-leg collision; Marlon (leg) and Yukhym Konoplya (ankle) have also had issues.
AZ absences: Jordy Clasie has been on a modified plan and missed the first leg; Isak Jensen is suspended; Denso Kasius has been managing fitness.

Tactical picture: AZ must attack, Shakhtar can wait

Echteld likes forward wing-backs, and with Seiya Maikuma and Mees de Wit pushing high, AZ should play on the front foot from minute one. Troy Parrott (14 Eredivisie goals) will be the reference point, with Ibrahim Sadiq supplying width and chaos. AZ have even brought young Bendegúz Kovács closer to the first team for extra creativity.

Shakhtar’s plan almost writes itself: keep the shape, survive the early wave, then counter through Pedrinho and Alisson Santana, with Artem Bondarenko asked to steer midfield without Isaque. If AZ get impatient, Shakhtar will happily accept the gift-wrapped spaces.

NerdyTips betting preview: tips, stats, and odds explained

Now for the numbers behind our AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction. The 1X2 betting odds price AZ at 2.67, with draw and Shakhtar both at 3.3. That’s the market saying: AZ are favoured at home, but nobody’s calling it safe.

Best tip: 1X (AZ win or draw) at 1.5, confidence 8.5/10.
1X2 pick: 1 (AZ win) at 2.67, confidence 7.9/10.
Total goals: Under 3.5 at 1.44 (trust rating 3.5).

Those bets fit the match script. Our model projects 57% possession for AZ, 16 shots to Shakhtar’s 8, and corners at 6-2 (8 total). It also expects Shakhtar to collect more cards (0-2 on yellows), which often happens when one side defends deep for long spells. Squad values are almost identical (€165.87m vs €168.40m), so this looks less like “David vs Goliath” and more like “who executes under pressure?”

Final score call: 2-1 to AZ, with a 1-0 halftime lead. It’s a result that rewards AZ’s push without promising a goal festival, which is why under 3.5 makes sense. And if you want proof that football laughs at odds, remember AZ’s 2-2 away draw at PSV as 6.1 outsiders, and Shakhtar’s 1-0 win over Barcelona at odds of 10.0. Strange things happen. Just don’t ask your heart rate for permission.

AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction: can AZ spark a comeback?

Team news, form, and the little details that matter

Shakhtar injuries: Isaque is highly unlikely after a nasty first-leg collision; Marlon (leg) and Yukhym Konoplya (ankle) have also had issues.
AZ absences: Jordy Clasie has been on a modified plan and missed the first leg; Isak Jensen is suspended; Denso Kasius has been managing fitness.

Tactical picture: AZ must attack, Shakhtar can wait

NerdyTips betting preview: tips, stats, and odds explained

Best tip: 1X (AZ win or draw) at 1.5, confidence 8.5/10.
1X2 pick: 1 (AZ win) at 2.67, confidence 7.9/10.
Total goals: Under 3.5 at 1.44 (trust rating 3.5).

AI Predictions

Warning

Best Tip odd is moving up from 1.31

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar

1X -200

AZ Alkmaar to win or draw with odds of -200

8/10

1x2 Tip

1 167

AZ Alkmaar is expected to win with odds of 167

7/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -217

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match

3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -164

Both teams are expected to score

2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U5.5 -156

Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals

4/10

Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.9

0.7

57%

Ball Possession

43%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Shots Off Goal

Corners

Average / Match

Total Goals

2.6

1.8

Goals Scored

2.1

1.2

Goals Against

0.5

52%

Possession

60%

15.4

Total Shots

12.8

5.7

Shots on Goal

4.9

Shots off Goal

6.6

8.8

Fouls

8.3

6.6

Corners

4.9

1.5

Offsides

0.8

1.3

Yellow Cards

1.78

Overview Last 10 Matches

Wins

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals

Both Teams Scored

Unexpected Wins

Unexpected Loses

Head to Head

0 - 2 - 1

AZ Alkmaar	^16-Apr-26 2:2	Shakhtar
AZ Alkmaar	^08-Jul-23 3:3	Shakhtar

Recent Matches of AZ Alkmaar

10 May	D	Feyenoord	1	AZ Alkmaar	1
03 May	D	AZ Alkmaar	2	Twente	2
23 Apr	D	Ahead E	0	AZ Alkmaar	0
19 Apr	W	AZ Alkmaar	5	NEC Nijmegen	1
16 Apr	D	AZ Alkmaar	2	Shakhtar	2
12 Apr	W	AZ Alkmaar	3	Heerenveen	0
09 Apr	L	Shakhtar	3	AZ Alkmaar	0
04 Apr	W	AZ Alkmaar	2	Fortuna S	0
22 Mar	L	Groningen	3	AZ Alkmaar	0
19 Mar	W	Sparta Prague	0	AZ Alkmaar	4

Recent Matches Of Shakhtar

13 May	W	Shakhtar	3	Obolon'-Brovar	1
10 May	W	SK Poltava	0	Shakhtar	4
07 May	L	Crystal P.	2	Shakhtar	1
03 May	W	Dynamo Kyiv	1	Shakhtar	2
30 Apr	L	Shakhtar	1	Crystal P.	3
26 Apr	W	Kudrivka	1	Shakhtar	3
23 Apr	W	Zorya	1	Shakhtar	2
20 Apr	W	Shakhtar	1	Polessya	0
16 Apr	D	AZ Alkmaar	2	Shakhtar	2
13 Apr	D	LNZ Cherkasy	2	Shakhtar	2

World - UEFA Europa Conference League

	Team	M	G	P
1	Strasbourg	6	11-5	16
2	Raków	6	9-2	14
3	AEK Athens FC	6	14-7	13
4	Sparta Praha	6	10-3	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	13-7	13
6	Shakhtar	6	10-5	13
7	FSV Mainz 05	6	7-3	13
8	AEK Larnaca	6	7-1	12
9	Lausanne	6	6-3	11
10	Crystal Palace	6	11-6	10
11	Lech Poznan	6	12-8	10
12	Samsunspor	6	10-6	10
13	Celje	6	8-7	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	7-7	10
15	Fiorentina	6	8-5	9
16	HNK Rijeka	6	5-2	9
17	Jagiellonia	6	5-4	9
18	Omonia Nicosia	6	5-4	8
19	FC Noah	6	6-7	8
20	Drita	6	4-8	8
21	KuPS	6	6-5	7
22	Shkendija	6	4-5	7
23	Zrinjski	6	8-10	7
24	Sigma Olomouc	6	7-9	7
25	Universitatea	6	6-8	7
26	Lincoln Red Imps	6	7-15	7
27	Dynamo Kyiv	6	9-9	6
28	Legia Warszawa	6	8-8	6
29	Slovan	6	5-9	6
30	Breidablik	6	6-11	5
31	Shamrock	6	7-13	4
32	BK Hacken	6	5-8	3
33	Hamrun	6	4-11	3
34	Shelbourne	6	0-7	2
35	Aberdeen	6	3-14	2
36	Rapid Vienna	6	3-14	1