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Austria Vienna vs TSV Hartberg Prediction Bundesliga

Austria Vienna vs TSV Hartberg prediction for a tight Sunday

Our Austria Vienna vs TSV Hartberg prediction gets the Austrian Bundesliga Championship Round treatment on Sunday, May 3, 2026, with kickoff set for 13:30 GMT (12:30 UTC). Vienna’s Generali Arena is usually a place where Austria try to control the mood of the game early, while Hartberg are happiest when the match turns into a series of uncomfortable moments for the home side.

Both teams arrive with recent reminders that this league loves surprises. Austria Vienna went to Salzburg on 2026-02-06 and won 0:2 as big outsiders (odds 5.7), while Hartberg did something similar at Rapid Vienna on 2026-04-22, winning 0:2 at odds of 5.8. So if you’re expecting “safe” football, Austrian Sundays may not be your friend.

Match context, tactics, and what to watch

Austria’s squad value (€23.23m) is notably higher than Hartberg’s (€12.98m), and you can often see that in how they try to play: more time on the ball, more structured possession, and more players capable of producing the final pass. Hartberg, meanwhile, are usually fine without long spells of possession, aiming instead to stay compact and jump on transitions and set pieces.

Quick match notes before you bet

  • Match odds: Home 1.8, Draw 3.7, Away 4.75.
  • Head to head: last meeting on 2025-08-24 ended Austria Vienna 1–3 Hartberg (with Austria priced 1.66).
  • Game feel: Austria likely to press for territory; Hartberg likely to protect central areas and counter.

That last head to head result is the little warning sign: Austria can dominate phases and still get punished if Hartberg find space at the right times. It’s also why match management matters here—Austria need patience, Hartberg need discipline. And yes, it might not be a highlight reel kind of afternoon.

AI betting tips and stats for the match prediction

Now for the NerdyTips numbers. The best betting tip we have is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a modest trust level of 3.5/10. Our model also leans to the draw in the 1X2 market (AI pick: X) at around 3.7 odds, though the trust is low (2.0). In other words: the data suggests a tight game, but it’s not screaming certainty.

What the model expects on the pitch

  • Predicted score: 0:0 (half-time 0:0).
  • Possession: Austria 57% vs Hartberg 43%.
  • Shots: 11–8 overall; on target 4–1 for Austria.
  • Corners: 8 total (Austria 5, Hartberg 3).
  • Cards: Austria 2 yellows, Hartberg 1.

Those stats paint a familiar picture: Austria Vienna having more of the ball and more attempts, but not necessarily turning that into a comfortable win. With only one Hartberg shot on target forecast, the under looks logical—though football loves one weird deflection. For punters, the safest angle is the goals line; the bolder angle is the draw, especially if Austria’s possession doesn’t translate into big chances.

Final word: our Austria Vienna vs TSV Hartberg prediction points to a controlled, slightly tense match where the best betting tips lean towards fewer goals—Under 3.5 is the headline, and a cautious sprinkle on X is the “if you like drama” option.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Austria Vienna vs TSV Hartberg

U3.5 -313

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -313
3/10

1x2 Tip

X 270

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -313

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -104

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -263

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:0

Stats Predictions

1.71
xG
0.58
57%
Ball Possession
43%
11
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
1
3
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.48
Expected Goals
0.67
3.4
Total Goals
1.9
1.3
Goals Scored
0.8
2.1
Goals Against
1.1
47%
Possession
41%
9.5
Total Shots
8.5
3.7
Shots on Goal
2
3.7
Shots off Goal
3.9
13.6
Fouls
11.9
4.3
Corners
3.4
1.5
Offsides
1.1
3.33
Yellow Cards
1.56
358
Total Passes
333

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
2
9
Over 1.5 Goals
5
6
Over 2.5 Goals
3
5
Over 3.5 Goals
2
8
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Austria Vienna
17 - 3 - 8
TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 22-Mar-26
0:1
Austria V Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 01-Nov-25
2:1
Austria V Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 18-Aug-24
1:1
Austria V Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 28-May-24
0:1
Austria V Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 17-Sep-23
2:1
Austria V Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 11-Sep-22
0:3
Austria V Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 26-Sep-21
3:4
Austria V Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 24-May-21
0:3
Austria V Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 10-Apr-21
1:0
Austria V Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 31-Oct-20
2:1
Austria V Austria Vienna

Profile time Recent Matches of Austria V

10 MayW Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 0 Austria V Austria V 2
03 MayW Austria V Austria V 1 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 0
26 AprD Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 Austria V Austria V 1
22 AprL Red B Red B 3 Austria V Austria V 1
19 AprL Austria V Austria V 1 Red B Red B 3
12 AprD Austria V Austria V 1 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 1
05 AprL Lask Linz Lask Linz 4 Austria V Austria V 1
22 MarW Hartberg Hartberg 0 Austria V Austria V 1
15 MarL Austria V Austria V 2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 5
08 MarW Ried Ried 0 Austria V Austria V 2

Profile time Recent Matches Of TSV Hartberg

10 MayLTSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4
03 MayLAustria V Austria V 1 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 0
26 AprLTSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 5
22 AprWRapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 0 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 2
19 AprDTSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 2 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 2
12 AprDSturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 0
05 AprLTSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 1 Red B Red B 2
22 MarLHartberg Hartberg 0 Austria V Austria V 1
13 MarDLASK LASK 0 Hartberg Hartberg 0
08 MarDHartberg Hartberg 1 BW Linz BW Linz 1

Austria - Bundesliga Austria - Bundesliga

Team M G P
1 Sturm GrazSturm Graz2233-2638
2 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull2242-2637
3 Lask LinzLask Linz2232-3037
4 Austria ViennaAustria Vienna2234-3036
5 Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna2226-2533
6 TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg2229-2433
7 WSG WattensWSG Wattens2231-3031
8 SCR AltachSCR Altach2222-2329
9 RiedRied2226-3028
10 Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC2231-3226
11 Grazer AKGrazer AK2222-3620
12 FC BW LinzFC BW Linz2220-3615
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