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Augsburg

€146.67m

22 Mar13:30
2 : 5

Stuttgart

€344.60m

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Augsburg vs Stuttgart Prediction Bundesliga

Augsburg vs Stuttgart prediction: points, pressure, and goals

Augsburg vs Stuttgart prediction time: mark your calendar for 2026-03-22 at 18:30 GMT, when Augsburg welcome Stuttgart to the WWK Arena. This one has that classic Bundesliga feel: one team chasing the bright lights, the other protecting their comfort zone… and both knowing one loose pass can turn into a long evening.

Match context, form, and what might decide it

Matchday 27 matters here. Stuttgart sit 4th on 50 points and are in full Champions League-hunt mode, while Augsburg are 10th with 31 points, aiming to steady the ship after back-to-back defeats (2-0 at Dortmund, then 2.1 vs Leipzig). The twist? Augsburg at home have been stubborn in the best way: an eight-game unbeaten run at the WWK Arena. If you’re Stuttgart, that’s the kind of stat that makes you double-check your studs.

Tactically, Augsburg’s plan almost writes itself: stay compact, fight for second balls, and make the stadium loud. But there’s a real problem—Augsburg are dealing with a defensive crisis. Chrislain Matsima’s serious thigh/tendon injury is a big blow, and captain Jeffrey Gouweleeuw is also struggling. When your “calm adults” at the back are missing, every cross feels like a small emergency. Add absences like Ismaël Gharbi, Yannik Keitel, and Uchenna Ogundu, and Manuel Baum may need to get creative with structure and protection in midfield.

Stuttgart arrive with confidence after beating Leipzig 1-0, yet their away form has wobbled (points dropped in their last three Bundesliga away matches). And there’s another factor: they had a physically demanding Europa League game against Porto on Thursday, so legs and rotation will matter. They’re also without Justin Diehl, Badredine Bouanani, Lazar Jovanovic, and Dan-Axel Zagadou remains unavailable, which can affect depth and late-game control.

Quick notes before the numbers

  • Standings pressure: Stuttgart need points for top four; Augsburg want to stay comfortably mid-table.
  • Head to head: the last meeting (2025-01-12) ended 0-1 to Stuttgart.
  • Squad value gap: Augsburg €146.67m vs Stuttgart €344.60m—quality usually shows over 90 minutes.

Our AI picks, betting odds, and how the stats connect

The market leans Stuttgart: home win 3.65, draw 3.7, away win 2.1. Our model agrees on direction, but not with huge swagger. The best tip is X2 (Stuttgart win or draw) at 1.34, confidence 2.6/10—more “seatbelt” than “speeding ticket.” The most likely 1x2 outcome is 2 (away win) at 2.1, confidence 1.7, with a predicted final score of 1:2 and 0:1 at half-time.

Why? The projected match stats paint a familiar story: Stuttgart 57% possession to Augsburg’s 43%, shots 15-12, on-target 5-4. Not domination, but a steady edge—exactly what you’d expect from the more expensive squad, even with some travel fatigue. Corners are forecast at 5-5 (10 total), suggesting Augsburg will have their moments, especially at home.

  • Over 2.5 total goals is rated most likely at 1.6 (trust 1.5). With Augsburg’s defensive issues, that’s easy to understand.
  • Discipline: expected cards lean Augsburg (2) vs Stuttgart (1), often a sign of more chasing and more emergency defending.

One more reason this feels open: Augsburg have already shown they can shock giants—remember that 1-2 win away at Bayern on 2026-01-24 at wild 21.0 odds. Stuttgart, too, have their “we can suffer” badge, like that 0-0 at Leverkusen. So yes, our Augsburg vs Stuttgart prediction leans Stuttgart, but keep it sensible: X2 for safety, away win if you want the bigger price, and over 2.5 goals if you expect Augsburg’s home fight to still allow Stuttgart chances.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Augsburg vs Stuttgart

X2 -294

Stuttgart to win or draw with odds of -294
2/10

1x2 Tip

2 110

Stuttgart is expected to win with odds of 110
1/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -172

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -189

Both teams are expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -192

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

1.22
xG
1.48
43%
Ball Possession
57%
12
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots Off Goal
5
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.23
Expected Goals
1.66
2.7
Total Goals
3.3
1.4
Goals Scored
1.9
1.3
Goals Against
1.4
45%
Possession
61%
12.8
Total Shots
15.4
5
Shots on Goal
6
4.8
Shots off Goal
5.4
10.6
Fouls
9.6
5.4
Corners
5.6
1.8
Offsides
1.5
2.33
Yellow Cards
1.9
402
Total Passes
550

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
4
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
7
2
Over 3.5 Goals
5
6
Both Teams Scored
6
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
2

Head to Head

Augsburg
9 - 2 - 16
Stuttgart
Augsburg Augsburg 22-Mar-26
2:5
Stuttgart Stuttgart
Augsburg Augsburg 12-Jan-25
0:1
Stuttgart Stuttgart
Augsburg Augsburg 10-May-24
0:1
Stuttgart Stuttgart
Augsburg Augsburg 21-Apr-23
1:1
Stuttgart Stuttgart
Augsburg Augsburg 31-Oct-21
4:1
Stuttgart Stuttgart
Augsburg Augsburg 10-Jan-21
1:4
Stuttgart Stuttgart
Augsburg Augsburg 10-Apr-12
1:3
Stuttgart Stuttgart
Augsburg Augsburg 27-Apr-13
3:0
Stuttgart Stuttgart
Augsburg Augsburg 25-Aug-13
2:1
Stuttgart Stuttgart
Augsburg Augsburg 18-Apr-15
2:1
Stuttgart Stuttgart

Profile time Recent Matches of Augsburg

09 MayW FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 Borussia M Borussia M 1
02 MayW Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3
25 AprD FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1 Frankfurt Frankfurt 1
18 AprW Leverkusen Leverkusen 1 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 2
10 AprD FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2
04 AprD Hamburger Hamburger 1 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1
22 MarL Augsburg Augsburg 2 Stuttgart Stuttgart 5
14 MarL Dortmund Dortmund 2 Augsburg Augsburg 0
07 MarL RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2 Augsburg Augsburg 1
27 FebW Augsburg Augsburg 2 1. FC Koln 1. FC Koln 0

Profile time Recent Matches Of Stuttgart

09 MayWVfB S VfB S 3 Leverkusen Leverkusen 1
02 MayDHoffenheim Hoffenheim 3 VfB S VfB S 3
26 AprDVfB S VfB S 1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1
23 AprWVfB S VfB S 2 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1
19 AprLBayern M Bayern M 4 VfB S VfB S 2
12 AprWVfB S VfB S 4 Hamburger Hamburger 0
04 AprLVfB S VfB S 0 Borussia D Borussia D 2
22 MarWAugsburg Augsburg 2 Stuttgart Stuttgart 5
19 MarLFC Porto FC Porto 2 Stuttgart Stuttgart 0
15 MarWStuttgart Stuttgart 1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0

Germany - Bundesliga Germany - Bundesliga

Team M G P
1 Bayern MünchenBayern33117-3586
2 Borussia DortmundBorussia3368-3470
3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3365-4365
4 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3369-4761
5 1899 Hoffenheim18993365-4861
6 Bayer LeverkusenBayer3367-4658
7 SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3347-5644
8 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht3359-6343
9 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3345-5743
10 FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053342-5337
11 Hamburger SVHamburger SV3339-5337
12 Union BerlinUnion Berlin3340-5836
13 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia3338-5335
14 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln3348-5832
15 Werder BremenWerder Bremen3337-5832
16 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3342-6826
17 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC3341-7026
18 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3328-5726
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