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Atromitos

€12.70m

18 Apr10:00
3 : 2

Larisa

€10.98m

Preview

Atromitos vs Larisa Prediction Super League 1

Atromitos vs Larisa prediction: a tense playout afternoon

The Atromitos vs Larisa prediction lands on a classic “no one wants to blink first” kind of game. Football fans can look forward to this one on 2026-04-18, with kick-off at 15:00 GMT, at the Peristeri Stadium in Athens. It’s part of Greece’s Super League 1 Relegation Group, where every point feels like it should come with a receipt and a signature.

Atromitos come into this fixture knowing the setting suits them. Peristeri is not a place opponents love visiting, especially when the home side can settle into a steady rhythm on the ball. Larisa, meanwhile, have shown lately that they can be stubborn in the best way possible—annoyingly hard to break down, and perfectly happy to turn a match into a long test of patience.

What the game may look like on the pitch

The numbers suggest Atromitos will try to take the steering wheel early, with expected possession around 57%. That usually points to longer spells in midfield, working the ball wide, and trying to force corners rather than forcing risky passes. Larisa’s projected 43% share hints at a more reactive plan: staying compact, picking moments, and hoping the home side gets bored first.

It also fits what we’ve seen from both teams recently. Atromitos surprised plenty of people in mid-March by drawing 2:2 with AEK, despite odds heavily leaning AEK’s way. Larisa had their own “wait, what?” moment on 2026-03-22, holding Olympiakos to a 0:0 away draw when almost nobody gave them a chance. When a team can escape Karaiskakis with a point, they don’t exactly arrive in Peristeri feeling shy.

  • Head to head context matters too: the last meeting on 2025-09-29 ended 1:1, and it played close to the betting line.
  • Squad value is slightly on Atromitos’ side (€12.70m vs €10.98m), which often shows in depth and late-game options.
  • Expected corners sit at 9 total (5-4), suggesting steady pressure rather than chaos.

One interesting twist: the shot model is tight (11 vs 10), yet on-target attempts slightly favor Larisa (2 vs 3). If that plays out, Atromitos may have more of the ball, but Larisa could still create the cleaner looks—like a guest who barely talks but somehow wins every argument.

Atromitos vs Larisa prediction from NerdyTips AI

Let’s bring in the betting picture. The main betting odds list Atromitos at 1.78 for a home win, the draw at 3.45, and Larisa at 5.7. That makes the hosts the clear favorite, but not a runaway one—more “edge,” less “banker.”

NerdyTips’ AI leans toward safety first: the recommended bet is 1X (Atromitos to win or draw) at 1.16 odds, with a strong 8.5/10 trust level. That aligns with the match context, Atromitos’ home control, and Larisa’s tendency to grind out results rather than dominate.

  • 1X recommended bet: 1.16 odds, trust 8.5/10
  • 1x2 pick: Home win (1) at 1.785 odds, trust 7.9/10
  • Total goals bet: Under 2.5 at 1.63 odds, trust 6.4/10

The under 2.5 goals call makes sense with the half-time prediction of 0:0 and the overall tone of the game. If both sides keep discipline (expected yellow cards: 2 each) and chances stay limited, this could be decided by one moment rather than a flood of goals.

Correct score lean

The model’s final score prediction is 1:0 to Atromitos, with 0:0 at the break. So, for anyone searching “Atromitos vs Larisa prediction” and wondering what kind of afternoon this might be: think tight margins, few clear chances, and a match where the loudest sound might be fans arguing over whether that was a corner or “obviously a goal kick.”

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Atromitos vs Larisa

1X -625

Atromitos to win or draw with odds of -625
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -128

Atromitos is expected to win with odds of -128
7/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -161

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -154

At least one team is not expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -345

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.12
xG
1.02
57%
Ball Possession
43%
11
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.02
Expected Goals
1.03
1.9
Total Goals
2.4
1
Goals Scored
0.8
0.9
Goals Against
1.6
57%
Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10.4
3.1
Shots on Goal
3.4
5.8
Shots off Goal
4.7
17.1
Fouls
14
5.2
Corners
4.3
1.9
Offsides
1.9
2.4
Yellow Cards
2.6
457
Total Passes
400

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
1
5
Over 1.5 Goals
8
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Atromitos
9 - 8 - 1
Larisa
Atromitos Atromitos 18-Apr-26
3:2
Larisa Larisa
Atromitos Atromitos 29-Sep-25
1:1
Larisa Larisa
Atromitos Atromitos 16-Jan-24
4:0
Larisa Larisa
Atromitos Atromitos 10-Apr-21
0:1
Larisa Larisa
Atromitos Atromitos 20-Feb-21
1:1
Larisa Larisa
Atromitos Atromitos 29-Jun-20
3:0
Larisa Larisa
Atromitos Atromitos 25-Aug-19
1:1
Larisa Larisa
Atromitos Atromitos 22-Sep-18
2:0
Larisa Larisa
Atromitos Atromitos 09-Apr-17
0:0
Larisa Larisa
Atromitos Atromitos 28-Jan-18
1:0
Larisa Larisa

Profile time Recent Matches of Atromitos

12 MayW Kifisia Kifisia 0 Atromitos Atromitos 3
09 MayL Atromitos Atromitos 1 Panetolikos Panetolikos 2
02 MayL Asteras T Asteras T 4 Atromitos Atromitos 2
26 AprW Atromitos Atromitos 2 Asteras T Asteras T 1
22 AprW Panserraikos Panserraikos 0 Atromitos Atromitos 4
18 AprW Atromitos Atromitos 3 Larisa Larisa 2
08 AprD Atromitos Atromitos 0 Kifisia Kifisia 0
04 AprD Panetolikos Panetolikos 1 Atromitos Atromitos 1
22 MarL Levadiakos Levadiakos 1 Atromitos Atromitos 0
15 MarD Atromitos Atromitos 2 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 2

Profile time Recent Matches Of Larisa

12 MayDPanetolikos Panetolikos 1 Larisa Larisa 1
09 MayDLarisa Larisa 1 Asteras T Asteras T 1
02 MayDPanserraikos Panserraikos 1 Larisa Larisa 1
26 AprLLarisa Larisa 0 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1
22 AprDLarisa Larisa 1 Kifisia Kifisia 1
18 AprLAtromitos Atromitos 3 Larisa Larisa 2
08 AprLLarisa Larisa 1 Panetolikos Panetolikos 2
04 AprLAsteras T Asteras T 3 Larisa Larisa 1
22 MarDOlympiakos Olympiakos 0 AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 0
14 MarDAEL Larissa AEL Larissa 1 Asteras T Asteras T 1

Greece - Super League 1 Greece - Super League 1

Team M G P
1 AtromitosAtromitos3442-4043
2 KifisiaKifisia3437-4937
3 PanetolikosPanetolikos3433-4835
4 Asteras TripolisAsteras3434-4832
5 PanserraikosPanserraikos3424-6628
6 LarisaLarisa3430-5227
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