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Antwerp

€52.95m

10 May10:00
0 : 1

Charleroi

€41.50m

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Antwerp vs Charleroi Prediction Jupiler Pro League

Antwerp vs Charleroi prediction for Sunday’s play-off test

Our Antwerp vs Charleroi prediction is built around a simple idea: Antwerp are finally playing like Antwerp again, but Charleroi have become the guest who keeps “accidentally” breaking your favourite vase. This Jupiler Pro League meeting kicks off on 2026-05-10 at 15:00 GMT at the Bosuilstadion, and it lands in Round 7 of the Conference League Play-off Group, where both sides are chasing a European ticket after missing the Champions’ play-offs.

Match context, form, and what to expect tactically

Antwerp’s regular season was a grind. They ended 10th, snapping a proud run of six straight top-six finishes, and they now sit 5th in the play-off group. Charleroi finished 9th and currently hold 4th. That one-place gap is exactly why this match matters: win it, and the table starts to look friendlier.

From a game-plan point of view, Antwerp should try to control the rhythm at home. Our numbers point to 55% possession for the hosts, and that usually means more time in the attacking half, more set pieces, and more chances for their wide players to force corners and second balls. Charleroi, on the other hand, can live without the ball; they’ve often looked most dangerous when they can sit compact and break into space.

Key storylines to know before sports betting

  • Antwerp form boost: despite the rough season, Antwerp arrive on a three-game league winning streak in the play-offs, scoring at least two goals in each win.
  • Charleroi confidence: the Zèbres beat Genk 2-0 on May 2, a result that travels well in the mind, if not always on the road.
  • Away-day worries: Charleroi have been winless in six of their last seven away matches.
  • Head to head trend: Charleroi have won 4 of the last 6 meetings, and the most recent head to head on 2026-01-25 ended Antwerp 0-2 Charleroi.

Antwerp vs Charleroi prediction: AI picks, betting odds, and score call

The betting odds suggest a tight contest: Home win 2.57, Draw 3.4, Away win 2.57. There’s a small lean to Antwerp, but not enough to pretend this is comfortable. Market value also hints at a slight edge: Antwerp at €52.57m vs Charleroi at €41.50m.

Our model’s best tip is HS (home team will score) at 1.26 odds, with a 6.8/10 trust rating. With Antwerp’s recent two-goal habit and home possession edge, that reads like the “keep it simple” angle for sports betting—especially since Charleroi’s away form has been shaky.

Model-backed betting angles

  • Best tip: HS (Antwerp to score) @ 1.26, trust 6.8/10
  • 1X2 prediction: 1 (Antwerp win) @ ~2.57, confidence 3.9
  • Goals market: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.34, trust 4.8

Stat-wise, we’re projecting 14 shots for Antwerp vs 11 for Charleroi, with on-target shots at 5 vs 3. Corners lean Antwerp too (6-4, total 10), and discipline looks calm-ish: 2 yellows for Antwerp, 1 for Charleroi. Put it together and the expected script is Antwerp pressing for territory, Charleroi trying to nick moments—again.

Final call for this Antwerp vs Charleroi prediction: Antwerp 2-1 Charleroi, with a 1-0 half-time score. And yes, Antwerp fans will still remember that last head to head… which is exactly why they’ll want this one wrapped up before the nerves kick in.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Antwerp didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Antwerp vs Charleroi

HS -385

Antwerp is expected to score at least 1 goal with odds of -385
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 185

Antwerp is expected to win with odds of 185
3/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -357

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -149

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -108

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.55
xG
1.36
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
3
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.34
Expected Goals
1.55
2.6
Total Goals
2.4
1.2
Goals Scored
1.1
1.4
Goals Against
1.3
51%
Possession
51%
12.8
Total Shots
12.9
4.7
Shots on Goal
4.5
4.4
Shots off Goal
4.7
13.9
Fouls
10.5
5.7
Corners
5.8
3.3
Offsides
1.8
2.6
Yellow Cards
2
386
Total Passes
411

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
3
7
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Antwerp
6 - 4 - 11
Charleroi
Antwerp Antwerp 25-Jan-26
0:2
Charleroi Charleroi
Antwerp Antwerp 29-May-25
1:2
Charleroi Charleroi
Antwerp Antwerp 08-Dec-24
1:3
Charleroi Charleroi
Antwerp Antwerp 06-Dec-23
5:2
Charleroi Charleroi
Antwerp Antwerp 21-Jan-24
4:1
Charleroi Charleroi
Antwerp Antwerp 19-Mar-23
0:1
Charleroi Charleroi
Antwerp Antwerp 16-Jan-22
3:0
Charleroi Charleroi
Antwerp Antwerp 27-Dec-20
2:1
Charleroi Charleroi
Antwerp Antwerp 16-Feb-20
1:1
Charleroi Charleroi
Antwerp Antwerp 05-Nov-17
1:3
Charleroi Charleroi

Profile time Recent Matches of Antwerp

15 MayL OH Leuven OH Leuven 3 Antwerp Antwerp 0
10 MayL Antwerp Antwerp 0 Charleroi Charleroi 1
03 MayL Antwerp Antwerp 0 Standard L Standard L 5
25 AprW KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 2 Antwerp Antwerp 4
21 AprW Standard L Standard L 1 Antwerp Antwerp 2
18 AprW Antwerp Antwerp 2 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0
10 AprL Charleroi Charleroi 2 Antwerp Antwerp 1
03 AprL Antwerp Antwerp 1 Genk Genk 2
22 MarL Leuven Leuven 1 Antwerp Antwerp 0
15 MarD Antwerp Antwerp 1 St. Liege St. Liege 1

Profile time Recent Matches Of Charleroi

10 MayWAntwerp Antwerp 0 Charleroi Charleroi 1
02 MayWCharleroi Charleroi 2 Genk Genk 0
25 AprWOH Leuven OH Leuven 0 Charleroi Charleroi 2
21 AprDGenk Genk 1 Charleroi Charleroi 1
18 AprLCharleroi Charleroi 1 Standard L Standard L 2
10 AprWCharleroi Charleroi 2 Antwerp Antwerp 1
05 AprLKVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 2 Charleroi Charleroi 0
22 MarLWaregem Waregem 1 Charleroi Charleroi 0
14 MarLCharleroi Charleroi 0 Leuven Leuven 2
07 MarDDender Dender 2 Charleroi Charleroi 2

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Team M G P
1 GenkGenk3755-5333
2 Standard LiegeStandard Liege3742-4333
3 CharleroiCharleroi3747-4830
4 KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo3748-5330
5 AntwerpAntwerp3841-4827
6 OH LeuvenOH Leuven3840-5722
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