Saudi-Arabia
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Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Kholood prediction for goals and value
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Kholood Prediction starts with simple planning: mark Monday, 2026-05-04 on your calendar, because Al-Ittihad host Al Kholood at 19:00 GMT (listed widely as 18:00 UTC). This Saudi Pro League game has a clear favorite on paper, but the recent story between these teams suggests we should keep one eyebrow raised.
Match context, styles, and what to watch early
Al-Ittihad’s squad value (€162.60m) compared to Al Kholood’s (€20.20m) helps explain the betting odds: home win 1.67, draw 4.2, away win 5.3. Still, Al Kholood have already shown they can be stubborn, and Al-Ittihad have shown they can be generous in open games.
Tactically, expect Al-Ittihad to own the ball and push play into the final third. The projections lean that way too, with 60% home possession and 11 total shots (3 on target). Al Kholood are forecast at 40% possession, 6 shots, and just 1 on target—numbers that usually point to a deeper block, quick breaks, and trying to “win” key moments like set pieces and transitions.
Key themes that shape this match
- Tempo and transitions: Al-Ittihad want sustained pressure; Al Kholood will likely look for direct counters.
- Set-piece math: Corners are estimated at 5–3 (8 total), a small but real edge for the hosts.
- Discipline: Yellow cards are predicted at 1 for Al-Ittihad and 2 for Al Kholood, hinting at more defensive duels for the visitors.
Head to head hints: goals tend to follow
The head to head record is the best argument against a sleepy night. On 2025-02-01, Al-Ittihad won 4-3 in a wild seven-goal match (with odds then around 1.33 vs 7.5). More recently, Al Kholood again made life difficult in a 2-2 draw on 2026-03-18, despite being priced as big outsiders (around 6.25). Put simply: this pairing has a habit of producing total goals.
Our AI picks: probabilities with a seatbelt on
For this Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Kholood prediction, NerdyTips’ model agrees with the market direction but stays cautious on confidence. The 1X2 call is home win (1) with a 3.1/10 trust score, aligned with the short price (our listed odds 1.39; market home win 1.67). That’s a “most likely” pick, not a guarantee—especially with Al-Ittihad’s recent habit of surprising results, like the 1-1 away draw at Al Hilal on 2026-02-21 when they were priced around 6.25.
Most profitable angle: goals
The model’s best value read is Over 2.5 goals at 1.67, carrying a 3.6/10 trust rating. That fits the head to head pattern and also fits the projected game flow: Al-Ittihad should create more, while Al Kholood’s best path is to take risks on the break. Our predicted half-time score is 1-1, which naturally points toward a more open second half.
- Main bet: Over 2.5 total goals (odds 1.67, trust 3.6/10)
- 1X2 lean: Al-Ittihad to win (odds 1.67–1.39 range, confidence 3.1/10)
- Correct score: 2-1, with a 1-1 half-time
If you want the cleanest story, it reads like this: Al-Ittihad’s control should win out, but the smarter wager may be backing goals, because this fixture rarely stays quiet.
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Warning
Best Tip odd is moving up from 1.45
Best Tip
The best betting football prediction for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al KholoodO2.5 -161
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1611x2 Tip
1 -149
Al-Ittihad FC is expected to win with odds of -149Total Goals
Over 2.5 -161
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchBoth Teams To Score
Yes -154
Both teams are expected to scoreBet Builder Tip
1X&O2.5 102
Home win/draw and over 2.5 goalsCorrect Score
2:1
Stats Predictions
Average / Match
Overview Last 10 Matches
Head to Head
|
|
3
-
2
-
0
|
|
Latest Matches
 Al-Ittihad |
01-Feb-25
4:3
| Al Kholood  |
| Al Kholood |
18-Mar-26
1:1
| Al-Ittihad |
| Al Kholood |
09-Jan-26
0:4
| Al-Ittihad |
| Al Kholood |
24-Aug-24
0:1
| Al-Ittihad |
| Al Kholood |
26-Sep-23
1:1
| Al-Ittihad |
Recent Matches of Al-Ittihad
| 14 May | W |
Al-Ettifaq
| 1 |
Al-Ittihad
| 3 |
| 10 May | W |
Al-Ittihad
| 2 |
Damac
| 1 |
| 04 May | D |
Al-Ittihad
| 0 |
Al Kholood
| 0 |
| 29 Apr | W |
Al Taawon
| 0 |
Al-Ittihad
| 2 |
| 17 Apr | L |
Machida Z
| 1 |
Al-Ittihad
| 0 |
| 14 Apr | W |
Al-Ittihad
| 1 |
Al Wahda FC
| 0 |
| 08 Apr | L |
Al-Ittihad
| 3 |
NEOM
| 4 |
| 03 Apr | W |
Al-Ittihad
| 1 |
Al-Hazm
| 0 |
| 18 Mar | D |
Al Kholood
| 2 |
Al Ittihad
| 2 |
| 13 Mar | L |
Al Riyadh
| 3 |
Al Ittihad
| 1 |
Recent Matches Of Al Kholood
| 12 May | D | Al Kholood |
0 |  Al Okhdood |
0 |
| 08 May | L | Al Kholood |
1 |  Al-Hilal S |
2 |
| 04 May | D | Al-Ittihad |
0 | Al Kholood |
0 |
| 30 Apr | D | Al Kholood |
1 |  Al-Fayha |
1 |
| 11 Apr | W |  Al Taawon |
1 | Al Kholood |
2 |
| 08 Apr | L | Al-Hilal S |
6 | Al Kholood |
0 |
| 03 Apr | D | Al Kholood |
2 |  Khaleej S |
2 |
| 18 Mar | D | Al Kholood |
2 | Al Ittihad |
2 |
| 12 Mar | L |  Al Hazem |
2 | Al Kholood |
1 |
| 07 Mar | L | Al Kholood |
1 |  Al Qadisiya |
4 |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League
| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Al-Nassr | 33 | 87-27 | 83 |
| 2 |
 Al-Hilal Saudi | 32 | 82-27 | 78 |
| 3 |
 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 32 | 64-24 | 75 |
| 4 |
 Al-Qadisiyah | 33 | 78-33 | 74 |
| 5 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 32 | 52-40 | 55 |
| 6 |
Al Taawon | 32 | 58-43 | 52 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq | 33 | 50-54 | 49 |
| 8 |
NEOM | 32 | 42-45 | 44 |
| 9 |
Al-Hazm | 33 | 36-57 | 39 |
| 10 |
 Al-Fayha | 32 | 41-50 | 38 |
| 11 |
 Al Khaleej | 32 | 52-55 | 37 |
| 12 |
 Al-Fateh | 33 | 41-55 | 36 |
| 13 |
Al Kholood | 32 | 39-58 | 32 |
| 14 |
 Al Shabab | 32 | 41-54 | 32 |
| 15 |
Damac | 32 | 28-51 | 26 |
| 16 |
Al Riyadh | 32 | 33-62 | 26 |
| 17 |
 Al Okhdood | 32 | 24-68 | 17 |
| 18 |
 Al Najma | 33 | 31-76 | 13 |
